Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-06 Version:5

Prediction Map

Liberalrocks Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Liberalrocks Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	27
Rep	6
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	6
Ind	2
Tos	10
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	+2	+4	-1	0	-1	23	0	23	+3
Rep	+1	0	+1	-2	-2	-4	4	1	5	-3
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	27	23	50
Republican	6	42	48
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
47	30	17

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2022 Senate	34/35	26/35	60/70	85.7%		1	4	48	T	305
2022 Governor	32/36	27/36	59/72	81.9%		1	4	88	T	272
2020 President	50/56	36/56	86/112	76.8%		9	6	529	T	684
2020 Senate	29/35	19/35	48/70	68.6%		1	4	337	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		1	5	51	T	293
2018 Senate	30/35	17/35	47/70	67.1%		5	0	334	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	25/36	58/72	80.6%		3	2	56	T	372
2016 President	48/56	29/56	77/112	68.8%		14	0	369	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	17/34	47/68	69.1%		7	0	213	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	6/12	15/24	62.5%		5	0	47	T	279
2014 Senate	33/36	24/36	57/72	79.2%		60	0	82	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	17/36	46/72	63.9%		53	0	123	T	300
2012 President	55/56	46/56	101/112	90.2%		97	1	77	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	22/33	54/66	81.8%		48	0	40	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		12	0	24	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	44/52	26/52	70/104	67.3%		67	-	5	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	25/37	59/74	79.7%		71	1	63	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	21/37	56/74	75.7%		44	5	106	T	312
2008 President	51/56	42/56	93/112	83.0%		53	1	139	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	15/33	46/66	69.7%		4	24	227	T	407
2008 Governor	8/11	5/11	13/22	59.1%		2	17	232	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	49/52	18/52	67/104	64.4%		24	-	23	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	33/49	16/49	49/98	50.0%		7	-	55	T	235
Aggregate Predictions	751/845	493/845	1244/1690	73.6%

User Info

	Liberalrocks Forum Profile
	Liberalrocks Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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