Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-06 Version:4

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	26
Rep	7
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	23
Rep	4
Ind	2
Tos	6
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+1	+2	0	0	0	24	0	24	+2
Rep	0	0	0	-1	-1	-2	5	2	7	-2
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	26	23	49
Republican	7	42	49
Independent	2	0	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
54	31	23

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					246
2023 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	1	210	1	T	115
2022 Senate	34/35	28/35	62/70	88.6%	3	0	26	T	305
2022 Governor	35/36	28/36	63/72	87.5%	2	0	11	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	2	8	48	T	118
2020 President	53/56	37/56	90/112	80.4%	15	5	392	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	18/35	49/70	70.0%	8	5	309	T	423
2020 Governor	10/11	5/11	15/22	68.2%	3	5	249	T	293
2019 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	2	4	14	T	192
2018 Senate	31/35	23/35	54/70	77.1%	4	0	106	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	28/36	60/72	83.3%	4	2	18	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	2	5	1	T	149
2016 President	50/56	30/56	80/112	71.4%	38	0	246	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	22/34	54/68	79.4%	25	0	6	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	2/12	12/24	50.0%	6	0	164	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%	2	9	72	T	112
2014 Senate	32/36	26/36	58/72	80.6%	19	0	60	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	19/36	48/72	66.7%	15	0	73	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	3	10	17	T	153
2012 President	55/56	47/56	102/112	91.1%	10	0	47	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	20/33	52/66	78.8%	16	0	74	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%	4	4	5	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	44/52	16/52	60/104	57.7%	30	-	41	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	3/4	7/8	87.5%	3	35	2	T	106
2010 Senate	36/37	28/37	64/74	86.5%	26	0	6	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	25/37	59/74	79.7%	18	0	59	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	0/2	1/4	25.0%	3	24	92	T	103
2008 President	54/56	41/56	95/112	84.8%	8	1	100	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	20/33	53/66	80.3%	10	1	57	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%	8	1	27	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	46/52	24/52	70/104	67.3%	19	-	16	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	37/49	15/49	52/98	53.1%	15	-	43	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	1/3	4/6	66.7%	3	74	102	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	27/33	60/66	90.9%	18	0	3	T	465
2006 Governor	33/36	30/36	63/72	87.5%	16	0	10	T	312
2004 President	55/56	29/56	84/112	75.0%	11	2	834	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	913/994	618/994	1531/1988	77.0%