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PredictionsEndorse2018 Senatorial Predictions - firstdegreburns (I-ID) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2018-03-25 Version:1

Prediction Map
firstdegreburns MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
firstdegreburns MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep6
 
Ind2
 
Tos6
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+1+2-30-320020-1
Rep+30+3-1-1-2516+1
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic222345
Republican94251
Independent202
 pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: leogreenberg (D-NY) 2018-03-26 @ 16:43:05 prediction Map
I understand the logic on Indiana and Missouri, with Attorney General Josh Hawley likely to face Claire McCaskill, and Rep. Todd Rotika likely to face Joe Donnelly. I'm confused about Montana, as Jon Tester has yet to acquire a serious opponent. Matt Rosendale, a state representative, seems to be the favorite, but Tester looks rather safe.
 By: firstdegreburns (I-ID) 2018-06-01 @ 00:40:10 prediction Map
Understandable have a nice day

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 55/56 48/56 103/112 92.0% pie 11 50 8T684
P 2020 Senate 31/35 24/35 55/70 78.6% pie 1 48 66T423
P 2018 Senate 32/35 19/35 51/70 72.9% pie 5 6 211T483
P 2017 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 4 15 98T149
Aggregate Predictions 119/128 92/128 211/256 82.4% pie



Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

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