PredictionsEndorse2018 Senatorial Predictions - deleteduser (I-WV) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2018-04-21 Version:79

Prediction Map
deleteduser MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
deleteduser MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem15
 
pie
Rep16
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem15
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind2
 
Tos4
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-80-815015-8
Rep+80+8000628+8
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic152338
Republican164258
Independent202
pie

Analysis

Barbara Bush "worst case Democratic scenario" map. Moved it in favor of Republicans obviously. Wait and see as always!


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: darthpi (D-PA) 2018-04-21 @ 11:11:09 prediction Map
Given that Trump himself has decided to spend the day of Barbara Bush's funeral ragetweeting and golfing, I don't think there's much reason to believe her death is going to have any effect on the election, let alone an effect this large.

 By: Politician (--MA) 2018-04-21 @ 16:52:02 prediction Map
Yes, it will be forgotten bt November.

 By: deleteduser (I-WV) 2018-04-22 @ 05:18:29 prediction Map
We shall see my friends. This is just the "worst case scenario." There is also the "best case scenario." The "generic scenario." And now that y'all mention it, the "no effect scenario" now. Gotta add that now lol. In fact that's the scenario I'll do today, now that y'all mention it. Lol. Wait and see as always!


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2022 Senate 33/35 24/35 57/70 81.4% pie 48 75 124T305
P 2022 Governor 35/36 20/36 55/72 76.4% pie 52 75 173T272
P 2021 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 19 7 1T118
P 2020 President 55/56 38/56 93/112 83.0% pie 193 6 260T684
P 2020 Senate 33/35 22/35 55/70 78.6% pie 52 4 66T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 33 6 147T293
P 2019 Governor 2/3 1/3 3/6 50.0% pie 6 3 104T192
P 2018 Senate 33/35 24/35 57/70 81.4% pie 135 0 24T483
P 2018 Governor 34/36 21/36 55/72 76.4% pie 66 2 122T372
P 2016 President 51/56 23/56 74/112 66.1% pie 290 1 473T678
P 2014 Senate 35/36 20/36 55/72 76.4% pie 22 13 122T382
P 2012 President 54/56 39/56 93/112 83.0% pie 85 2 401T760
P 2011 Governor 4/4 3/4 7/8 87.5% pie 5 36 2T106
P 2010 Senate 33/37 26/37 59/74 79.7% pie 63 0 63T456
P 2008 President 53/56 43/56 96/112 85.7% pie 167 1 74T1,505
P 2008 Senate 33/33 17/33 50/66 75.8% pie 21 7 117T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 16 0 50T264
P 2007 Governor 2/3 1/3 3/6 50.0% pie 4 27 135T167
Aggregate Predictions 514/541 337/541 851/1082 78.7% pie


Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

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