PredictionsEndorse2018 Senatorial Predictions - deleteduser (I-WV) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2018-05-02 Version:86

Prediction Map
deleteduser MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
deleteduser MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem26
 
pie
Rep5
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem26
 
pie
Rep5
 
Ind2
 
Tos0
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+2+300023023+3
Rep000-1-2-3505-3
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic262349
Republican54247
Independent202
pie

Analysis

Generic map time again lol.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: edwardsna (R-NY) 2018-05-02 @ 12:54:48 prediction Map
Honestly bluemcdowell, you can bet the Gop will not take anything for granted. Therefore I strongly but respectfully disagree with you on this map(: out of all the seats that are up, I seriously do think Republicans will win more than just 5 of them. Democrats have an awful lot to defend, especially since a lot of seats you have them winning are in states that Trump won in a 20+% margin. I'm sure that since the Gop knows it's in trouble, and won't take anything for granted, and the Democrats are all giddy about this year's election, and probably will at least take it somewhat for granted. I am sure Republicans will do at least a little better than this(: Again very respectfully disagree with you on this(:

 By: deleteduser (I-WV) 2018-05-05 @ 08:55:04 prediction Map
It all depends upon the economy edwardsna. That's the only the thing Trump and the GOP have going for it right now. You're right, we Democrats can't take anything for granted. I fear that could be happening. If the Democratic base is fired up, we can't lose. Wait and see as always my friend. That's all we can do as always.

 By: deleteduser (I-WV) 2018-05-05 @ 08:55:45 prediction Map
I've done some best case Republican scenarios, and those are possible too. What do you think about those my friend?


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2022 Senate 33/35 24/35 57/70 81.4% pie 48 75 124T305
P 2022 Governor 35/36 20/36 55/72 76.4% pie 52 75 173T272
P 2021 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 19 7 1T118
P 2020 President 55/56 38/56 93/112 83.0% pie 193 6 260T684
P 2020 Senate 33/35 22/35 55/70 78.6% pie 52 4 66T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 33 6 147T293
P 2019 Governor 2/3 1/3 3/6 50.0% pie 6 3 104T192
P 2018 Senate 33/35 24/35 57/70 81.4% pie 135 0 24T483
P 2018 Governor 34/36 21/36 55/72 76.4% pie 66 2 122T372
P 2016 President 51/56 23/56 74/112 66.1% pie 290 1 473T678
P 2014 Senate 35/36 20/36 55/72 76.4% pie 22 13 122T382
P 2012 President 54/56 39/56 93/112 83.0% pie 85 2 401T760
P 2011 Governor 4/4 3/4 7/8 87.5% pie 5 36 2T106
P 2010 Senate 33/37 26/37 59/74 79.7% pie 63 0 63T456
P 2008 President 53/56 43/56 96/112 85.7% pie 167 1 74T1,505
P 2008 Senate 33/33 17/33 50/66 75.8% pie 21 7 117T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 16 0 50T264
P 2007 Governor 2/3 1/3 3/6 50.0% pie 4 27 135T167
Aggregate Predictions 514/541 337/541 851/1082 78.7% pie


Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

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