Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-05 Version:2

Prediction Map

italian-boy Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

italian-boy Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	25
Rep	8
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	5
Ind	2
Tos	10
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+1	+2	-1	0	-1	23	0	23	+1
Rep	+1	0	+1	-1	-1	-2	5	2	7	-1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	25	23	48
Republican	8	42	50
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
55	32	23

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	34/35	29/35	63/70	90.0%		1	16	16	T	305
2022 Governor	35/36	26/36	61/72	84.7%		1	16	51	T	272
2020 President	50/56	33/56	83/112	74.1%		3	6	593	T	684
2020 Senate	29/35	15/35	44/70	62.9%		3	4	399	T	423
2018 Senate	32/35	23/35	55/70	78.6%		2	1	67	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	26/36	58/72	80.6%		2	3	56	T	372
2016 President	48/56	26/56	74/112	66.1%		4	1	473	T	678
2016 Senate	29/34	19/34	48/68	70.6%		3	0	164	T	362
2014 Senate	33/36	23/36	56/72	77.8%		8	0	99	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	19/36	49/72	68.1%		4	1	56	T	300
2012 President	55/56	47/56	102/112	91.1%		5	10	47	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	17/33	49/66	74.2%		4	7	128	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		1	47	24	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	22/52	10/52	32/104	30.8%		9	-	146	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	30/37	64/74	86.5%		9	1	6	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	30/37	64/74	86.5%		8	1	5	T	312
2008 President	53/56	46/56	99/112	88.4%		17	1	26	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	20/33	53/66	80.3%		8	0	57	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	9/11	20/22	90.9%		2	37	9	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	43/52	22/52	65/104	62.5%		10	-	28	T	271
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		2	71	58	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	25/33	58/66	87.9%		11	1	10	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	21/36	56/72	77.8%		6	1	58	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	751/845	525/845	1276/1690	75.5%

User Info

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Links

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