Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-02 Version:5

Prediction Map

Cuivienen Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Cuivienen Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	25
Rep	8
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	5
Ind	2
Tos	6
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+1	+2	-1	0	-1	23	0	23	+1
Rep	+1	0	+1	-1	-1	-2	5	2	7	-1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	25	23	48
Republican	8	42	50
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
52	32	20

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	50/56	41/56	91/112	81.3%		2	11	359	T	684
2020 Senate	29/35	18/35	47/70	67.1%		2	9	358	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		1	11	10	T	293
2018 Senate	32/35	20/35	52/70	74.3%		5	4	170	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	23/36	55/72	76.4%		10	6	122	T	372
2014 Senate	27/36	14/36	41/72	56.9%		1	562	322	T	382
2012 President	55/56	48/56	103/112	92.0%		6	1	26	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	16/33	48/66	72.7%		3	1	144	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		2	1	51	T	228
2010 Senate	36/37	22/37	58/74	78.4%		5	1	86	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	23/37	57/74	77.0%		6	1	91	T	312
2008 President	52/56	41/56	93/112	83.0%		28	2	139	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	18/33	50/66	75.8%		26	1	117	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		6	40	50	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	7/52	4/52	11/104	10.6%		10	-	224	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	4/49	2/49	6/98	6.1%		8	-	221	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	1/3	4/6	66.7%		3	163	102	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	24/33	57/66	86.4%		24	1	20	T	465
2006 Governor	33/36	30/36	63/72	87.5%		30	0	10	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	524/656	366/656	890/1312	67.8%

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