Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-05 Version:3

Prediction Map

glturk Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

glturk Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	16
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	9
Ind	2
Tos	7
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-7	0	-7	17	0	17	-7
Rep	+7	0	+7	0	0	0	6	3	9	+7
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	17	23	40
Republican	16	42	58
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
51	30	21

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						244
2023 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	96	74	T	115
2022 Senate	29/35	20/35	49/70	70.0%		1	233	271	T	305
2022 Governor	29/36	19/36	48/72	66.7%		5	1	248	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	12	1	T	118
2020 President	46/56	39/56	85/112	75.9%		2	6	550	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	21/35	53/70	75.7%		2	4	137	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		1	232	51	T	293
2019 Governor	1/3	0/3	1/6	16.7%		1	125	179	T	192
2018 Senate	30/35	21/35	51/70	72.9%		3	1	211	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	24/36	57/72	79.2%		2	3	78	T	372
2016 President	50/56	33/56	83/112	74.1%		3	1	114	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	18/34	49/68	72.1%		3	1	120	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	7/12	17/24	70.8%		1	1	14	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		1	1	72	T	112
2014 Senate	35/36	23/36	58/72	80.6%		3	0	60	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	19/36	51/72	70.8%		1	0	22	T	300
2012 President	49/56	43/56	92/112	82.1%		3	1	435	T	760
2012 Senate	27/33	14/33	41/66	62.1%		3	1	241	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%		3	1	157	T	228
2011 Governor	4/4	2/4	6/8	75.0%		2	25	12	T	106
2010 Senate	32/37	19/37	51/74	68.9%		4	0	206	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	20/37	55/74	74.3%		3	0	118	T	312
2008 President	48/56	27/56	75/112	67.0%		4	0	702	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	15/33	45/66	68.2%		2	0	257	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%		2	0	152	T	264
2007 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		2	91	102	T	167
2004 President	53/56	40/56	93/112	83.0%		5	4	98	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	673/766	449/766	1122/1532	73.2%

Links

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