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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-05 Version:26
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Prediction Score (max Score = 70)
Analysis
Final map, with two big moves. I've flipped Missouri from Republican back to Democratic, and I've also shifted Texas from Lean Republican to Tossup. I don't really think Texas will flip, but I have just enough uncertainty from what looks like it will be an unprecedented midterm turnout there that I feel I have to hedge my bets.
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