Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-05 Version:3

Prediction Map

benconstine Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

benconstine Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	24
Rep	9
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	5
Ind	2
Tos	11
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+1	+2	-2	0	-2	22	0	22	0
Rep	+2	0	+2	-1	-1	-2	5	2	7	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	24	23	47
Republican	9	42	51
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
59	33	26

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						244
2022 Senate	34/35	26/35	60/70	85.7%		5	6	48	T	305
2022 Governor	35/36	23/36	58/72	80.6%		4	6	104	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	73	48	T	118
2020 President	53/56	40/56	93/112	83.0%		13	6	260	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	22/35	53/70	75.7%		11	8	137	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		5	29	51	T	293
2018 Senate	33/35	26/35	59/70	84.3%		3	1	4	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	23/36	56/72	77.8%		2	9	94	T	372
2016 President	47/56	28/56	75/112	67.0%		8	1	440	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	15/34	45/68	66.2%		7	1	277	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	5/12	15/24	62.5%		2	1	47	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		1	5	72	T	112
2014 Senate	34/36	26/36	60/72	83.3%		9	0	21	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	16/36	45/72	62.5%		4	1	145	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	96	17	T	153
2012 President	55/56	46/56	101/112	90.2%		9	0	77	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	16/33	47/66	71.2%		9	1	164	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		3	1	5	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	42/52	9/52	51/104	49.0%		8	-	69	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%		1	243	37	T	106
2010 Senate	36/37	25/37	61/74	82.4%		33	0	34	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	23/37	58/74	78.4%		15	1	74	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		3	5	56	T	103
2008 President	52/56	45/56	97/112	86.6%		101	1	55	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	22/33	55/66	83.3%		39	1	28	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		9	122	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	42/52	20/52	62/104	59.6%		30	-	36	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	40/49	11/49	51/98	52.0%		26	-	47	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	1/3	4/6	66.7%		4	27	102	T	167
Aggregate Predictions	780/861	494/861	1274/1722	74.0%

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