Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-05 Version:1

Prediction Map

Dav64 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Dav64 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	21
Rep	12
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	8
Ind	2
Tos	6
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	-4	0	-4	20	0	20	-3
Rep	+4	0	+4	-1	0	-1	5	3	8	+3
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	21	23	44
Republican	12	42	54
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
52	34	18

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	30/35	26/35	56/70	80.0%		1	1	147	T	305
2022 Governor	29/36	22/36	51/72	70.8%		1	1	228	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	56	48	T	118
2020 President	53/56	43/56	96/112	85.7%		1	6	130	T	684
2020 Senate	34/35	15/35	49/70	70.0%		1	4	309	T	423
2020 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%		1	6	211	T	293
2018 Senate	34/35	18/35	52/70	74.3%		1	1	170	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	17/36	47/72	65.3%		1	3	273	T	372
2016 President	53/56	42/56	95/112	84.8%		1	1	1		678
2016 Senate	31/34	19/34	50/68	73.5%		1	1	89	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	4/12	13/24	54.2%		1	1	119	T	279
2014 Senate	34/36	26/36	60/72	83.3%		1	0	21	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	20/36	51/72	70.8%		1	0	22	T	300
2012 President	54/56	37/56	91/112	81.3%		1	1	466	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	17/33	48/66	72.7%		1	1	144	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%		1	1	89	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	35/52	11/52	46/104	44.2%		4	-	86	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	26/37	60/74	81.1%		8	0	54	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	27/37	61/74	82.4%		6	0	29	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	132	41	T	103
Aggregate Predictions	579/648	384/648	963/1296	74.3%

User Info

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