Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-06 Version:16

Prediction Map

jahiegel Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

jahiegel Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	24
Rep	9
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	8
Ind	2
Tos	3
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+1	+2	-2	0	-2	22	0	22	0
Rep	+2	0	+2	-1	-1	-2	5	2	7	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	24	23	47
Republican	9	42	51
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
56	33	23

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						245
2023 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%		2	1	99	T	115
2022 Senate	32/35	28/35	60/70	85.7%		6	0	48	T	305
2022 Governor	35/36	29/36	64/72	88.9%		7	0	5	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	51	48	T	118
2020 President	53/56	41/56	94/112	83.9%		12	5	215	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	23/35	55/70	78.6%		8	3	66	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		7	5	51	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		2	3	35	T	192
2018 Senate	33/35	23/35	56/70	80.0%		16	0	42	T	483
2018 Governor	31/36	27/36	58/72	80.6%		11	2	56	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	103	40	T	149
2016 President	51/56	31/56	82/112	73.2%		11	0	149	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	20/34	51/68	75.0%		13	0	60	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	6/12	15/24	62.5%		8	0	47	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		1	271	72	T	112
2014 Senate	34/36	26/36	60/72	83.3%		10	0	21	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	19/36	50/72	69.4%		4	0	39	T	300
2012 President	55/56	46/56	101/112	90.2%		10	1	77	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	24/33	55/66	83.3%		8	0	20	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%		5	0	89	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	2/52	2/52	4/104	3.8%		2	-	219	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	30/37	64/74	86.5%		8	0	6	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	29/37	64/74	86.5%		2	0	5	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		2	1	1	T	103
2008 President	52/56	42/56	94/112	83.9%		8	0	115	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	19/33	51/66	77.3%		8	0	96	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%		6	0	152	T	264
Aggregate Predictions	654/759	492/759	1146/1518	75.5%

User Info

	jahiegel Forum Profile
	jahiegel Senatorial Endorsements

Links

	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent
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