Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-04 Version:5

Prediction Map

ClarkR Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

ClarkR Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	24
Rep	9
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	6
Ind	2
Tos	7
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+2	+2	-2	0	-2	22	0	22	0
Rep	+2	0	+2	0	-2	-2	6	1	7	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	24	23	47
Republican	9	42	51
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
50	31	19

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	34/35	25/35	59/70	84.3%		2	1	69	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	27/36	60/72	83.3%		1	1	66	T	272
2020 President	51/56	38/56	89/112	79.5%		4	9	434	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	21/35	51/70	72.9%		4	28	241	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		1	367	51	T	293
2018 Senate	31/35	19/35	50/70	71.4%		5	2	246	T	483
2018 Governor	31/36	21/36	52/72	72.2%		2	4	189	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	73	1	T	149
2016 President	49/56	29/56	78/112	69.6%		6	6	325	T	678
2016 Senate	29/34	18/34	47/68	69.1%		6	0	213	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	7/12	17/24	70.8%		4	6	14	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%		1	19	57	T	112
2014 Senate	33/36	20/36	53/72	73.6%		6	23	158	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	16/36	47/72	65.3%		5	17	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	229	17	T	153
2012 President	56/56	48/56	104/112	92.9%		6	1	13	T	760
2012 Senate	33/33	24/33	57/66	86.4%		6	1	5	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	5/11	16/22	72.7%		5	1	89	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	42/52	18/52	60/104	57.7%		11	-	41	T	231
2011 Governor	3/4	2/4	5/8	62.5%		1	26	37	T	106
2010 Senate	32/37	22/37	54/74	73.0%		14	0	151	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	21/37	55/74	74.3%		9	1	118	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	590/655	392/655	982/1310	75.0%

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