PredictionsEndorse2018 Senatorial Predictions - RMH8824 (R-IA) ResultsPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Date of Prediction: 2018-11-03 Version:1

Prediction Map
RMH8824 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
RMH8824 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem24
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep8
 
Ind2
 
Tos6
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+1+1-10-1230230
Rep+10+10-1-16280
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic242347
Republican94251
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
583127
piepiepie

Analysis

Claire McCaskill may have saved her election chances by supporting the President on his sending of troops to the US border. Democrats defending more seats will hurt their chances of taking the Senate. If they do pull off picking up the Senate, it will be humiliating for Republicans who had to defend 15 fewer seats than Democrats.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 31/35 27/35 58/70 82.9% pie 1 3 15T
P 2018 Governor 30/36 23/36 53/72 73.6% pie 1 5 164T
P 2016 President 50/56 33/56 83/112 74.1% pie 24 1 114T
P 2016 Senate 31/34 24/34 55/68 80.9% pie 16 1 2T
P 2016 Governor 11/12 5/12 16/24 66.7% pie 8 2 25T
P 2015 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 2 132 72T
P 2014 Senate 35/36 25/36 60/72 83.3% pie 35 0 21T
P 2014 Governor 32/36 20/36 52/72 72.2% pie 38 0 15T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 2 40 17T
Aggregate Predictions 223/250 159/250 382/500 76.4% pie



Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

Back to 2018 Senatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home


Terms of Service - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved