PredictionsEndorse2018 Senatorial Predictions - IndyRep (R-MT) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-05 Version:11

Prediction Map
IndyRep MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
IndyRep MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep11
 
Ind2
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep5
 
Ind2
 
Tos9
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+1+2-40-420020-2
Rep+40+4-1-1-2527+2
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic222345
Republican114253
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
593326
piepiepie

Analysis

One of my least confident predictions ever. My "gut" tells me that Republicans are going to win either MT or WV, but I also wouldn’t be surprised if Dems won all the Toss-ups.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 249
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 88
P 2020 Governor /11 /11 /22 % pie 72
P 2019 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie 191
P 2018 Senate 33/35 26/35 59/70 84.3% pie 11 1 4T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 24/36 56/72 77.8% pie 14 3 94T372
P 2017 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 116 40T149
P 2016 President 52/56 37/56 89/112 79.5% pie 18 1 17T678
P 2016 Senate 31/34 20/34 51/68 75.0% pie 13 1 60T362
P 2016 Governor 8/12 4/12 12/24 50.0% pie 7 3 164T279
P 2015 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 3 2 3T112
Aggregate Predictions 161/178 114/178 275/356 77.2% pie



Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

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