Date of Prediction: 2018-11-05 Version:16
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Prediction Score (max Score = 70)
Analysis
The 2016 election results tore me down. It took one thing from me: hope. And now, I'm taking that hope back. <br /> <br /> The 2018 senate map does not look good for the Democrats. As usual, the Democrats are running a bunch of terrible establishment candidates; Sinema, McCaskill, Donnelly, Manchin, Rosen, Heitkamp, etc. It could be the case that Americans are still tired of establishment politics, and just like in 2016, they will boot establishment politicians. I wouldn't be surprised if Sinema lost, she's practically a Hillary Clinton clone; robotic, scripted, and uninspiring. <br /> <br /> But there's something inside of me that urges me to ingore all the bad candidates. There are many good candidates, like Beto O'Rourke, who bleed authenticity and listen to the concerns of their constituents. Candidates like Beto give me hope. They are a sign that the Democratic Party is changing, albeit one race at a time. Contrary to what Atlas thinks, I think Beto will win in Texas. He has all the ingredients he needs for an upset. <br /> <br /> Donald Trump is the most unpopular president in modern American history. On November 6, the American people will judge his performance. If history is any indication, the party in power will experience massive losses. Voter turnout will be at record highs since the civil rights movement. This may very well be the most important midterm election of our lives, and I'm excited to see how it will turn out.
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