Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-06 Version:11

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

Confidence States Won

State Pick-ups

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Analysis

This is finally it. With the election on the horizon this is my final prediction for the us senate

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: man_of_honor885 (-PA) 2018-11-07 @ 06:16:17
Well after seeing the true results what really surprised me was that Mike Braun won Indiana by such a large margin. Also it seems that Rick Scott and Ron DeSantis have won florida by narrow margins.

By: deleteduser (I-WV) 2019-01-24 @ 01:30:57
I was surprised by FL and IN too. I think the polls underestimated Trump's popularity in FL, which helped Republicans, and overestimated the Democratic candidates popularity. Indiana was probably not as huge as a surprise since it's solidly Republican normally. I think Donnelly acting "Republican lite" actually backfired on him there, and actually cost him more votes than it gained for him, especially from the Democratic base there.

By: deleteduser (I-WV) 2019-01-24 @ 01:32:05
Most were surprised by Nevada, but the polls always seem to underestimate Democrats there for whatever reason, unlike many other states where they overestimate Dems instead.

User's Predictions