Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-06 Version:15

Prediction Map

tinman64 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

tinman64 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	24
Rep	9
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	8
Ind	2
Tos	5
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+1	+2	-2	0	-2	22	0	22	0
Rep	+2	0	+2	-1	-1	-2	5	2	7	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	24	23	47
Republican	9	42	51
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
57	33	24

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2023 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	11	74	T	115
2022 Senate	33/35	26/35	59/70	84.3%		7	4	69	T	305
2022 Governor	34/36	24/36	58/72	80.6%		5	1	104	T	272
2020 President	53/56	39/56	92/112	82.1%		31	6	307	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	22/35	55/70	78.6%		13	4	66	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		7	6	51	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%		2	8	104	T	192
2018 Senate	33/35	24/35	57/70	81.4%		15	0	24	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	21/36	53/72	73.6%		14	2	164	T	372
2016 President	50/56	28/56	78/112	69.6%		64	1	325	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	18/34	50/68	73.5%		15	0	89	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	6/12	15/24	62.5%		10	2	47	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		2	9	8	T	112
2014 Senate	34/36	23/36	57/72	79.2%		11	1	82	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	16/36	47/72	65.3%		10	1	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	1	17	T	153
2012 President	54/56	40/56	94/112	83.9%		34	2	367	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	16/33	47/66	71.2%		13	2	164	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%		6	2	51	T	228
2010 Senate	34/37	25/37	59/74	79.7%		9	0	63	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	27/37	62/74	83.8%		9	0	17	T	312
2008 President	53/56	41/56	94/112	83.9%		13	1	115	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	17/33	49/66	74.2%		4	1	144	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		4	1	27	T	264
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	22/33	54/66	81.8%		20	1	65	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	19/36	54/72	75.0%		16	1	81	T	312
2004 President	55/56	43/56	98/112	87.5%		35	3	14	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	775/828	525/828	1300/1656	78.5%

User Info

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	tinman64 Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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