Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-10-10 Version:1

Prediction Map

retromike22 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

retromike22 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	25
Rep	8
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	21
Rep	5
Ind	2
Tos	7
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+1	+2	-1	0	-1	23	0	23	+1
Rep	+1	0	+1	-1	-1	-2	5	2	7	-1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	25	23	48
Republican	8	42	50
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
51	32	19

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	34/35	25/35	59/70	84.3%		1	2	69	T	305
2020 President	54/56	48/56	102/112	91.1%		1	9	14	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	23/35	53/70	75.7%		1	7	137	T	423
2018 Senate	32/35	19/35	51/70	72.9%		1	27	211	T	483
2017 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	6	1	T	149
2016 President	46/56	21/56	67/112	59.8%		7	2	597	T	678
2016 Senate	28/34	15/34	43/68	63.2%		3	1	317	T	362
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	5	8	T	112
2014 Senate	32/36	20/36	52/72	72.2%		6	1	177	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	14/36	44/72	61.1%		2	1	171	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	3	1	T	153
2012 President	55/56	48/56	103/112	92.0%		9	1	26	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	20/33	52/66	78.8%		5	152	74	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		2	9	24	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	45/52	17/52	62/104	59.6%		24	-	34	T	231
2010 Senate	35/37	22/37	57/74	77.0%		14	5	100	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	25/37	60/74	81.1%		8	2	45	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		4	1	1	T	103
2008 President	51/56	36/56	87/112	77.7%		26	1	306	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	16/33	49/66	74.2%		16	5	144	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	9/11	20/22	90.9%		7	8	9	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	39/52	22/52	61/104	58.7%		24	-	38	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	39/49	18/49	57/98	58.2%		19	-	18	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		2	115	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	22/33	55/66	83.3%		4	6	46	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	12/36	46/72	63.9%		5	24	192	T	312
2004 President	52/56	31/56	83/112	74.1%		5	33	926	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	802/887	501/887	1303/1774	73.4%

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