PredictionsEndorse2018 Senatorial Predictions - Du_Chateau (I-OH) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-03 Version:3

Prediction Map
Du_Chateau MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Du_Chateau MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem27
 
pie
Rep6
 
Ind2
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem18
 
pie
Rep5
 
Ind2
 
Tos10
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+2+2+4-10-123023+3
Rep+10+1-2-2-4415-3
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic272350
Republican64248
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
453015
piepiepie

Analysis

This will be final prediction.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: Du_Chateau (I-OH) 2018-11-03 @ 19:40:15 prediction Map
Battleground Analysis: Will not be doing analysis in states that will not be in play.<br /> <br /> AZ - This will depend how Maricopa County and Tuscon go. Also it will depend on Hispanic turnout.<br /> <br /> FL - The algae blooms in the Gulf of Mexico seem to be sinking Rick Scott's campaign.<br /> <br /> IN - Will depend on the turnout from Gary and Indianapolis<br /> <br /> MI - Will depend on the turnout from St. Louis and Kansas City.<br /> <br /> NV - Will depend on turnout from Clark county.<br /> <br /> TX - Can go either way. All dependent on turnout.<br /> <br /> TN - Texas will flip before Tennessee will. African American turnout probably will be key.<br /> <br /> Texas and Tennessee will be the closest races.

 By: Du_Chateau (I-OH) 2018-11-03 @ 19:41:23 prediction Map
MI is suppose to be MO.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 30/35 15/35 45/70 64.3% pie 3 3 392T
P 2018 Governor 31/36 15/36 46/72 63.9% pie 2 11 285T
P 2016 President 44/56 22/56 66/112 58.9% pie 7 0 614T
P 2016 Senate 28/34 16/34 44/68 64.7% pie 3 5 302T
P 2014 Senate 28/36 17/36 45/72 62.5% pie 1 42 282T
P 2014 Governor 26/36 13/36 39/72 54.2% pie 1 42 253T
P 2012 President 56/56 42/56 98/112 87.5% pie 2 1 182T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 12/33 44/66 66.7% pie 2 1 211T
P 2010 Senate 24/37 9/37 33/74 44.6% pie 1 165 441T
P 2008 President 53/56 35/56 88/112 78.6% pie 4 6 276T
P 2004 President 52/56 22/56 74/112 66.1% pie 19 6 1527T
Aggregate Predictions 404/471 218/471 622/942 66.0% pie


Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

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