Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-02 Version:4

Prediction Map

gkevgas Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

gkevgas Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	15
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	14
Ind	2
Tos	1
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-6	0	-6	18	0	18	-6
Rep	+6	0	+6	0	0	0	6	3	9	+6
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	18	23	41
Republican	15	42	57
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
52	31	21

Analysis

GOP1

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	34/35	28/35	62/70	88.6%		1	1	26	T	305
2022 Governor	32/36	27/36	59/72	81.9%		1	1	88	T	272
2020 President	53/56	40/56	93/112	83.0%		5	6	260	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	16/35	48/70	68.6%		4	4	337	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		1	7	147	T	293
2018 Senate	31/35	21/35	52/70	74.3%		4	4	170	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	26/36	56/72	77.8%		1	9	94	T	372
2016 President	50/56	36/56	86/112	76.8%		10	1	48	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	9/34	39/68	57.4%		7	0	350	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	5/12	12/24	50.0%		1	434	164	T	279
2014 Senate	32/36	18/36	50/72	69.4%		3	1	217	T	382
2014 Governor	27/36	16/36	43/72	59.7%		1	12	192	T	300
2012 President	55/56	38/56	93/112	83.0%		13	3	401	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	13/33	43/66	65.2%		3	3	221	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%		1	87	51	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	24/52	6/52	30/104	28.8%		3	-	154	T	231
2010 Senate	35/37	28/37	63/74	85.1%		2	2	11	T	456
2010 Governor	33/37	19/37	52/74	70.3%		1	5	143	T	312
2008 President	53/56	45/56	98/112	87.5%		14	0	41	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	21/33	53/66	80.3%		2	4	57	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		1	4	86	T	264
2007 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	3	102	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	22/33	53/66	80.3%		6	4	88	T	465
2004 President	49/56	34/56	83/112	74.1%		10	6	926	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	734/836	489/836	1223/1672	73.1%

Links

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