PredictionsEndorse2018 Senatorial Predictions - Aguagon (D-AZ) ResultsPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Date of Prediction: 2018-11-05 Version:3

Prediction Map
Aguagon MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Aguagon MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem24
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep8
 
Ind2
 
Tos6
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+1+2-20-2220220
Rep+20+2-1-1-25270
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic242347
Republican94251
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
593326
piepiepie

Analysis

Not much has changed since my last prediction; I just tweaked a few percentages and confidence intervals. I think this is the most likely outcome, but 2016 taught me not to be surprised by anything.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 446
P 2018 Senate 33/35 26/35 59/70 84.3% pie 3 1 4T483
P 2018 Governor 33/36 29/36 62/72 86.1% pie 1 3 2T372
P 2017 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 1 2 1T149
P 2016 President 50/56 35/56 85/112 75.9% pie 3 0 66T678
P 2016 Senate 31/34 22/34 53/68 77.9% pie 1 0 16T362
P 2016 Governor 10/12 4/12 14/24 58.3% pie 1 0 67T279
P 2015 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 1 24 72T112
P 2014 Senate 33/36 27/36 60/72 83.3% pie 3 1 21T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 17/36 48/72 66.7% pie 3 1 73T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 64 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 47/56 102/112 91.1% pie 7 1 47T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 24/33 56/66 84.8% pie 7 1 11T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 4 1 89T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 37/52 16/52 53/104 51.0% pie 23 - 64T231
P 2010 Senate 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 8 0 34T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 28/37 63/74 85.1% pie 4 0 11T312
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 5 21 1T103
P 2008 President 54/56 47/56 101/112 90.2% pie 13 1 6T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 8 1 28T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 3 1 27T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 39/52 22/52 61/104 58.7% pie 20 - 38T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 38/49 21/49 59/98 60.2% pie 17 - 14235
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 169 1T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 27/33 58/66 87.9% pie 7 2 10T465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 23/36 58/72 80.6% pie 8 1 44T312
Aggregate Predictions 674/753 488/753 1162/1506 77.2% pie



Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

Back to 2018 Senatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home


Terms of Use - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved