Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-10-23 Version:8

Prediction Map

Castro2020 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Castro2020 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	15
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	13
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+9	0	+9	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+8
Rep	+1	0	+1	-9	0	-9	11	3	14	-8
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	20	33	53
Republican	15	30	45
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2023 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		1	48	1	T	115
2022 Senate	35/35	23/35	58/70	82.9%		1	5	97	T	305
2022 Governor	35/36	22/36	57/72	79.2%		1	5	130	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	7	48	T	118
2020 President	52/56	38/56	90/112	80.4%		16	5	392	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	22/35	52/70	74.3%		10	3	194	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		4	5	51	T	293
2019 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		2	4	14	T	192
2018 Senate	32/35	24/35	56/70	80.0%		11	2	42	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	29/36	61/72	84.7%		10	5	6	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		2	22	1	T	149
2016 President	48/56	19/56	67/112	59.8%		20	3	597	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	19/34	50/68	73.5%		13	1	89	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	4/12	13/24	54.2%		8	1	119	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		6	8	8	T	112
2014 Senate	33/36	18/36	51/72	70.8%		17	2	200	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	18/36	48/72	66.7%		19	2	73	T	300
Aggregate Predictions	389/431	253/431	642/862	74.5%

Links

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