Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-10-30 Version:2

Prediction Map

WisJohn Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

WisJohn Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	17
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	13
Ind	0
Tos	9
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+6	+1	+7	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+6
Rep	+1	0	+1	-6	-1	-7	14	2	16	-6
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	18	33	51
Republican	17	30	47
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
47	28	19

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						243
2023 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		1	280	49	T	115
2022 Senate	34/35	27/35	61/70	87.1%		1	3	37	T	305
2020 President	53/56	44/56	97/112	86.6%		2	9	103	T	684
2020 Senate	28/35	19/35	47/70	67.1%		2	7	358	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		2	9	51	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	37	35	T	192
2018 Senate	31/35	18/35	49/70	70.0%		1	119	272	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	24/36	56/72	77.8%		3	7	94	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	5	40	T	149
2016 President	47/56	31/56	78/112	69.6%		6	3	325	T	678
2016 Senate	29/34	18/34	47/68	69.1%		5	3	213	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	4/12	12/24	50.0%		2	34	164	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		1	273	72	T	112
2014 Senate	29/36	21/36	50/72	69.4%		13	1	217	T	382
2014 Governor	28/36	14/36	42/72	58.3%		6	20	211	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		2	5	17	T	153
2012 President	55/56	47/56	102/112	91.1%		10	3	47	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	24/33	55/66	83.3%		7	3	20	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		2	46	24	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	44/52	13/52	57/104	54.8%		15	-	56	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%		3	21	37	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	26/37	60/74	81.1%		15	0	54	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	26/37	60/74	81.1%		13	0	45	T	312
2008 President	52/56	32/56	84/112	75.0%		3	12	382	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	18/33	49/66	74.2%		4	96	144	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		2	159	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	2/52	1/52	3/104	2.9%		3	-	267		271
2008 Rep Primary	1/49	1/49	2/98	2.0%		1	-	229	T	235
Aggregate Predictions	650/826	436/826	1086/1652	65.7%

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