Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-10-31 Version:10

Prediction Map

shua Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

shua Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	20
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	18
Ind	0
Tos	3
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	0	+4	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+3
Rep	+1	0	+1	-4	0	-4	16	3	19	-3
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	15	33	48
Republican	20	30	50
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
50	31	19

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	32/35	24/35	56/70	80.0%		7	0	147	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	22/36	55/72	76.4%		5	1	173	T	272
2020 President	54/56	38/56	92/112	82.1%		21	6	307	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	19/35	50/70	71.4%		10	6	274	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		2	6	51	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	146	35	T	192
2018 Senate	33/35	22/35	55/70	78.6%		3	1	67	T	483
2018 Governor	34/36	24/36	58/72	80.6%		1	3	56	T	372
2016 President	49/56	33/56	82/112	73.2%		5	1	149	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	17/34	48/68	70.6%		1	1	164	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	7/12	17/24	70.8%		1	1	14	T	279
2014 Senate	34/36	24/36	58/72	80.6%		6	1	60	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	20/36	51/72	70.8%		5	0	22	T	300
2012 President	54/56	34/56	88/112	78.6%		16	0	534	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	20/33	52/66	78.8%		5	3	74	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	9/11	19/22	86.4%		3	12	5	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	41/52	22/52	63/104	60.6%		28	-	27	T	231
2010 Senate	33/37	28/37	61/74	82.4%		13	1	34	T	456
2010 Governor	33/37	23/37	56/74	75.7%		6	1	106	T	312
2008 President	47/56	30/56	77/112	68.8%		8	1	625	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	14/33	44/66	66.7%		4	2	281	T	407
2008 Dem Primary	40/52	22/52	62/104	59.6%		13	-	36	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	41/49	23/49	64/98	65.3%		15	-	3	T	235
Aggregate Predictions	746/837	484/837	1230/1674	73.5%

Links

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