After a six month break, I finally came back to the site. Only one change to my Senate ratings: AZ moves to Lean D. McSally has been doing terribly in polling for an incumbent, Kelly has been strong in fundraising, and Arizona also has a history of electing Dems to statewide positions, so this won't be a TN-SEN 2018 or IN-SEN 2016 situation where the popular guy is far ahead only to fall to the partisan lean of the state.

First call. I'm predicting Georgia (Special) to go to a January runoff (the prediction here is the baseline for such a situation). NC, AZ, and ME are all coin flips. I think Shaheen (NH) will be just fine, but since there isn't a "likely" category I have her seat listed here as "Lean D". Jones (AL) and Gardner (CO) are 100% goners.