Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-05-30 Version:2

Prediction Map

vt500ascott Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

vt500ascott Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	19
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	16
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+5	0	+5	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+4
Rep	+1	0	+1	-5	0	-5	14	4	18	-4
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	16	33	49
Republican	19	30	49
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	52/56	42/56	94/112	83.9%		86	15	215	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	21/35	52/70	74.3%		6	10	194	T	423
2018 Senate	31/35	21/35	52/70	74.3%		21	8	170	T	483
2017 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	23	1	T	149
2016 President	49/56	29/56	78/112	69.6%		25	7	325	T	678
2014 Senate	31/36	18/36	49/72	68.1%		7	8	231	T	382
2012 President	55/56	44/56	99/112	88.4%		13	14	146	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	16/33	47/66	71.2%		3	44	164	T	343
2010 Senate	34/37	25/37	59/74	79.7%		17	10	63	T	456
2008 President	52/56	34/56	86/112	76.8%		17	7	324	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	14/33	45/66	68.2%		2	102	257	T	407
Aggregate Predictions	399/435	266/435	665/870	76.4%

Links

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