Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-06-01 Version:7

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	20
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	19
Ind	0
Tos	3
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	0	+4	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+3
Rep	+1	0	+1	-4	0	-4	15	4	19	-3
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	15	33	48
Republican	20	30	50
Independent	0	2	2

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 1

The only reason I put MS as lean is that the state is becoming closer and closer to electing a Democrat. The fact that MS-Sen Special 2018 and MS Gov 2019 were within a few points means to me that with certain circumstances, the race can be a competitive election.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					246
2023 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	4	56	1	T	115
2022 Senate	32/35	25/35	57/70	81.4%	15	1	124	T	305
2022 Governor	34/36	25/36	59/72	81.9%	17	1	88	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	1	73	48	T	118
2020 President	53/56	48/56	101/112	90.2%	15	8	23	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	26/35	57/70	81.4%	15	8	25	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	5/11	16/22	72.7%	5	49	211	T	293
2019 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	2	92	14	T	192
2018 Senate	32/35	18/35	50/70	71.4%	22	0	246	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	20/36	52/72	72.2%	15	2	189	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	5	80	40	T	149
2016 President	50/56	17/56	67/112	59.8%	14	0	597	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	9/34	41/68	60.3%	5	3	336	T	362
Aggregate Predictions	316/344	200/344	516/688	75.0%

Links

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