Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-06-14 Version:4

Prediction Map

Spark498 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Spark498 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	22
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	20
Ind	0
Tos	4
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	0	+2	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+1
Rep	+1	0	+1	-2	0	-2	17	4	21	-1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	13	33	46
Republican	22	30	52
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 14

Final Prediction.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						245
2023 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		2	3	1	T	115
2022 Senate	31/35	22/35	53/70	75.7%		22	1	224	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	24/36	57/72	79.2%		21	1	130	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		4	12	48	T	118
2020 President	51/56	45/56	96/112	85.7%		134	5	130	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	18/35	51/70	72.9%		15	3	241	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	3/11	14/22	63.6%		7	5	264	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		2	6	35	T	192
2018 Senate	32/35	16/35	48/70	68.6%		6	4	306	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	19/36	52/72	72.2%		10	6	189	T	372
2017 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		3	2	98	T	149
2016 President	51/56	32/56	83/112	74.1%		104	1	114	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	14/34	46/68	67.6%		28	1	252	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	4/12	11/24	45.8%		9	1	223	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		1	93	72	T	112
Aggregate Predictions	322/359	205/359	527/718	73.4%

Links

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