Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-07-19 Version:2

Prediction Map

Juin Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Juin Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	19
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	14
Ind	0
Tos	8
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+5	0	+5	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+4
Rep	+1	0	+1	-5	0	-5	14	4	18	-4
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	16	33	49
Republican	19	30	49
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						245
2022 Senate	33/35	28/35	61/70	87.1%		4	1	37	T	305
2022 Governor	34/36	23/36	57/72	79.2%		1	5	130	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		2	9	1	T	118
2020 President	54/56	45/56	99/112	88.4%		12	6	48	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	21/35	52/70	74.3%		7	4	194	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	9/11	20/22	90.9%		4	6	3	T	293
2018 Senate	31/35	22/35	53/70	75.7%		2	1	132	T	483
2018 Governor	31/36	19/36	50/72	69.4%		1	5	226	T	372
2016 President	51/56	29/56	80/112	71.4%		10	0	246	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	18/34	49/68	72.1%		8	0	120	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	5/12	14/24	58.3%		5	0	67	T	279
2014 Senate	35/36	29/36	64/72	88.9%		32	1	2		382
2014 Governor	31/36	20/36	51/72	70.8%		27	1	22	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		5	2	1	T	153
2012 President	52/56	45/56	97/112	86.6%		61	0	227	T	760
2012 Senate	29/33	17/33	46/66	69.7%		19	0	189	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%		6	0	51	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	43/52	26/52	69/104	66.3%		75	-	8	T	231
2011 Governor	3/4	1/4	4/8	50.0%		2	16	79	T	106
2010 Senate	27/37	17/37	44/74	59.5%		2	350	321	T	456
2010 Governor	27/37	14/37	41/74	55.4%		2	350	237	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	18	1	T	103
2008 President	50/56	40/56	90/112	80.4%		25	1	219	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	17/33	49/66	74.2%		13	1	144	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	4/11	14/22	63.6%		7	1	212	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	42/52	14/52	56/104	53.8%		23	-	58	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	38/49	16/49	54/98	55.1%		28	-	31	T	235
Aggregate Predictions	751/855	492/855	1243/1710	72.7%

Links

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