Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-10-20 Version:14

Prediction Map

Liberallover Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Liberallover Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	17
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	12
Ind	0
Tos	9
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+7	0	+7	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+6
Rep	+1	0	+1	-7	0	-7	13	3	16	-6
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	18	33	51
Republican	17	30	47
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
49	32	17

Analysis

The fascist party will keep seats in SC, TX, MT, AK, KS, and take back AL. Good news for them!

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2020 President	53/56	37/56	90/112	80.4%		28	6	392	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	17/35	49/70	70.0%		14	17	309	T	423
2018 Senate	32/35	20/35	52/70	74.3%		6	3	170	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	18/36	48/72	66.7%		4	5	260	T	372
2016 President	48/56	25/56	73/112	65.2%		24	1	496	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	16/34	48/68	70.6%		8	0	164	T	362
2014 Senate	31/36	17/36	48/72	66.7%		15	2	240	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	16/36	46/72	63.9%		8	2	123	T	300
2012 President	55/56	43/56	98/112	87.5%		46	1	182	T	760
2012 Senate	33/33	21/33	54/66	81.8%		11	1	40	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		3	43	24	T	228
2010 Senate	36/37	19/37	55/74	74.3%		53	7	133	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	20/37	55/74	74.3%		12	1	118	T	312
2008 President	55/56	41/56	96/112	85.7%		79	0	74	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	17/33	47/66	71.2%		10	24	204	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%		2	144	152	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	6/52	3/52	9/104	8.7%		2	-	235	T	271
Aggregate Predictions	559/650	343/650	902/1300	69.4%

Links

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