PredictionsEndorse2020 Senatorial Predictions - CasualObserver (L-CA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2020-08-24 Version:1

Prediction Map
CasualObserver MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
CasualObserver MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem15
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind0
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem13
 
pie
Rep18
 
Ind0
 
Tos4
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+40+4-10-110111+3
Rep+10+1-40-415419-3
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic153348
Republican203050
Independent022
pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 682
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 422
P 2020 Governor /11 /11 /22 % pie 292
P 2018 Senate 32/35 16/35 48/70 68.6% pie 2 21 306T483
P 2016 President 51/56 24/56 75/112 67.0% pie 46 0 440T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 18/34 48/68 70.6% pie 9 2 164T362
P 2016 Governor 11/12 6/12 17/24 70.8% pie 2 4 14T279
P 2014 Senate 36/36 18/36 54/72 75.0% pie 19 1 138T382
P 2014 Governor 29/36 14/36 43/72 59.7% pie 11 4 192T300
P 2012 President 51/56 33/56 84/112 75.0% pie 12 6 630T760
P 2012 Senate 30/33 13/33 43/66 65.2% pie 4 3 221T343
P 2012 Governor 9/11 4/11 13/22 59.1% pie 1 267 179T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 35/52 11/52 46/104 44.2% pie 18 - 86T231
Aggregate Predictions 314/361 157/361 471/722 65.2% pie


Alabama2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Arizona3 Arkansas2 Colorado2 Delaware2 Georgia2 Georgia3 Idaho2 Illinois2 Iowa2 Kansas2 Kentucky2 Louisiana2 Maine2 Massachusetts2 Michigan2 Michigan2 Minnesota2 Mississippi2 Montana2 Nebraska2 New Hampshire2 New Jersey2 New Mexico2 North Carolina2 Oklahoma2 Oregon2 Rhode Island2 South Carolina2 South Dakota2 Tennessee2 Texas2 Virginia2 Virginia2 West Virginia2 Wyoming2

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