Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2020-11-02 Version:8

Prediction Map

jtsmd2 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

jtsmd2 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	15
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	13
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+9	0	+9	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+8
Rep	+1	0	+1	-9	0	-9	11	3	14	-8
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	20	33	53
Republican	15	30	45
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
49	30	19

Analysis

Version 8. Late surge by Biden and MJ Hegar in Texas keeps it close enough on election day to produce a win for both.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						245
2023 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		1	279	1	T	115
2022 Senate	34/35	28/35	62/70	88.6%		9	1	26	T	305
2022 Governor	35/36	27/36	62/72	86.1%		2	1	23	T	272
2020 President	52/56	40/56	92/112	82.1%		7	6	307	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	19/35	49/70	70.0%		8	4	309	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		1	6	51	T	293
2018 Senate	30/35	19/35	49/70	70.0%		1	1	272	T	483
2018 Governor	29/36	24/36	53/72	73.6%		1	2	164	T	372
Aggregate Predictions	224/247	167/247	391/494	79.1%

Links

	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent
	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent Comments
	Senatorial Predictions Home

Back to 2020 Senatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home

Terms of Use - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved