Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-10-30 Version:15

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	23
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	20
Ind	0
Tos	3
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	0	+2	-2	0	-2	9	1	10	0
Rep	+2	0	+2	-2	0	-2	18	3	21	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	12	33	45
Republican	23	30	53
Independent	0	2	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
52	30	22

Analysis

Barring Major Changes,This Will Be My Final Senate Prediction. I Predict The Republicans Will Flip AL(100% They Will Flip That Seat) And MI(50% That Flips), Democrats Will Flip ME(80% That Flips) And CO(50% That Flips)

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					246
2023 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	1	47	49	T	115
2022 Senate	31/35	20/35	51/70	72.9%	4	7	255	T	305
2022 Governor	28/36	17/36	45/72	62.5%	4	6	256	T	272
2021 Governor	/2	/2	/4	0.0%		2459527			118
2020 President	47/56	23/56	70/112	62.5%	28	9	672	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	22/35	52/70	74.3%	15	7	194	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	4	15	147	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	10	6	35	T	192
2018 Senate	32/35	14/35	46/70	65.7%	5	3	362	T	483
Aggregate Predictions	184/216	106/216	290/432	67.1%

Links

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