Predictions2020 Senatorial Predictions - skbl17 (I-GA) Polls
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Date of Prediction: 2020-04-24 Version:2

Prediction Map
skbl17 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
skbl17 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem13
 
pie
Rep22
 
Ind0
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem13
 
pie
Rep19
 
Ind0
 
Tos3
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+20+2-10-110111+1
Rep+10+1-20-217421-1
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic13013
Republican22022
Independent000
pie

Analysis

After a six month break, I finally came back to the site. Only one change to my Senate ratings: AZ moves to Lean D. McSally has been doing terribly in polling for an incumbent, Kelly has been strong in fundraising, and Arizona also has a history of electing Dems to statewide positions, so this won't be a TN-SEN 2018 or IN-SEN 2016 situation where the popular guy is far ahead only to fall to the partisan lean of the state.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 450
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 232
P 2019 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie 191


Alabama2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Arizona3 Arkansas2 Colorado2 Delaware2 Georgia2 Georgia3 Idaho2 Illinois2 Iowa2 Kansas2 Kentucky2 Louisiana2 Maine2 Massachusetts2 Michigan2 Michigan2 Minnesota2 Mississippi2 Montana2 Nebraska2 New Hampshire2 New Jersey2 New Mexico2 North Carolina2 Oklahoma2 Oregon2 Rhode Island2 South Carolina2 South Dakota2 Tennessee2 Texas2 Virginia2 Virginia2 West Virginia2 Wyoming2

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