Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-11-03 Version:5

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	13
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	12
Ind	0
Tos	6
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+11	0	+11	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+10
Rep	+1	0	+1	-11	0	-11	9	3	12	-10
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	22	33	55
Republican	13	30	43
Independent	0	2	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
44	28	16

Analysis

Optimistic asf. Judging from GOP turnout on election day, I don't see them making up from the huge VBM leads...<br /> <br /> (Post election day)<br /> <br /> Welp. That was off.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	34/35	23/35	57/70	81.4%	5	0	124	T	305
2022 Governor	32/36	23/36	55/72	76.4%	3	5	173	T	272
2020 President	51/56	36/56	87/112	77.7%	14	5	502	T	684
2020 Senate	28/35	16/35	44/70	62.9%	5	3	399	T	423
Aggregate Predictions	145/162	98/162	243/324	75.0%

Links

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