Election 2022 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2022-11-02 Version:5

Prediction Map

Clay Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Clay Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	23
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	10
Rep	20
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-2	0	-2	11	1	12	-2
Rep	+2	0	+2	0	0	0	15	6	21	+2
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (118th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	12	34	46
Republican	23	29	52
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
52	32	20

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2022 Senate	32/35	20/35	52/70	74.3%		5	6	243	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	27/36	60/72	83.3%		5	6	66	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	10	28	T	118
2020 President	52/56	33/56	85/112	75.9%		8	146	550	T	684
2020 Senate	28/35	17/35	45/70	64.3%		7	144	390	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		2	146	51	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		2	48	35	T	192
2018 Senate	31/35	18/35	49/70	70.0%		6	0	272	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	21/36	53/72	73.6%		2	6	164	T	372
2016 President	50/56	29/56	79/112	70.5%		40	2	280	T	678
2012 President	54/56	38/56	92/112	82.1%		6	5	435	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	21/33	51/66	77.3%		1	32	94	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	7/11	16/22	72.7%		1	32	89	T	228
2010 Senate	33/37	19/37	52/74	70.3%		23	3	181	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	26/37	60/74	81.1%		17	3	45	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		4	3	1	T	103
2008 President	49/56	34/56	83/112	74.1%		17	1	404	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	20/33	51/66	77.3%		2	1	96	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	5/11	16/22	72.7%		1	7	152	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	35/52	15/52	50/104	48.1%		6	-	73	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	20/49	5/49	25/98	25.5%		2	-	141	T	235
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	15/33	48/66	72.7%		27	1	207	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	22/36	56/72	77.8%		26	1	58	T	312
2004 President	54/56	34/56	88/112	78.6%		28	1	359	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	702/807	438/807	1140/1614	70.6%

User Info

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