Election 2022 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2022-01-23 Version:8

Prediction Map

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Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

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Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	23
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	10
Rep	19
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-3	0	-3	10	1	11	-3
Rep	+3	0	+3	0	0	0	15	5	20	+3
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (118th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	11	34	45
Republican	23	29	52
Independent	0	2	2

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Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	33/35	24/35	57/70	81.4%		48	75	124	T	305
2022 Governor	35/36	20/36	55/72	76.4%		52	75	173	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		19	7	1	T	118
2020 President	55/56	38/56	93/112	83.0%		193	6	260	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	22/35	55/70	78.6%		52	4	66	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		33	6	147	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%		6	3	104	T	192
2018 Senate	33/35	24/35	57/70	81.4%		135	0	24	T	483
2018 Governor	34/36	21/36	55/72	76.4%		66	2	122	T	372
2016 President	51/56	23/56	74/112	66.1%		290	1	473	T	678
2014 Senate	35/36	20/36	55/72	76.4%		22	13	122	T	382
2012 President	54/56	39/56	93/112	83.0%		85	2	401	T	760
2011 Governor	4/4	3/4	7/8	87.5%		5	36	2	T	106
2010 Senate	33/37	26/37	59/74	79.7%		63	0	63	T	456
2008 President	53/56	43/56	96/112	85.7%		167	1	74	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	17/33	50/66	75.8%		21	7	117	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		16	0	50	T	264
2007 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%		4	27	135	T	167
Aggregate Predictions	514/541	337/541	851/1082	78.7%

Links

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