Election 2022 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2022-01-27 Version:6

Prediction Map

EEllis02 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

EEllis02 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	23
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	10
Rep	21
Ind	0
Tos	3
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-3	0	-3	10	1	11	-3
Rep	+3	0	+3	0	0	0	15	5	20	+3
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (118th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	11	34	45
Republican	23	29	52
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Analysis

Upgraded my confidence in Nevada and Arizona

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2023 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		5	4	1	T	115
2022 Senate	30/35	25/35	55/70	78.6%		24	7	183	T	305
2022 Governor	30/36	19/36	49/72	68.1%		40	2	241	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		8	13	28	T	118
2020 President	55/56	42/56	97/112	86.6%		35	5	103	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	22/35	53/70	75.7%		8	6	137	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		2	7	51	T	293
Aggregate Predictions	162/178	119/178	281/356	78.9%

User Info

	EEllis02 Forum Profile
	EEllis02 Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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