PredictionsEndorse2022 Senatorial Predictions - MATTROSE94 (D-NJ) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2022-05-30 Version:7

Prediction Map
MATTROSE94 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
MATTROSE94 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
18 |
35 |
50 |
Dem8
 
pie
Rep26
 
Ind0
 
Non16
 

Confidence States Won
18 |
35 |
50 |
Dem8
 
pie
Rep26
 
Ind0
 
Tos0
 
Non16
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-60-6718-6
Rep+60+600015520+6
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (118th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic83442
Republican262955
Independent022
pie

Analysis

Republicans pick up Nevada (Adam Laxalt), Arizona (Blake Masters), New Hampshire (Chuck Morse), Connecticut (Themis Klarides), Washington (Tiffany Smiley), and Colorado (Joe O'Dea). Joe Manchin and Krysten Sinema also switch over to the Republican Party after much wooing by Mitch McConnell, John Barrasso, and John Thune.<br /> <br /> Raphael Warnock does end up surviving narrowly because Herschel Walker is so mentally compromised that he makes Donald Trump look like Albert Einstein or Thomas Edison in terms of intellect.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 9

Republicans pick up Nevada (Adam Laxalt) and New Hampshire (Chuck Morse), but the Democrats pick up Pennsylvania (John Fetterman), Wisconsin (Mandela Barnes), Ohio (Tim Ryan), and North Carolina (Cheri Beasley).


Version: 8

Republicans pick up Nevada (Adam Laxalt), New Hampshire (Chuck Morse), and Arizona (Blake Masters), but the Democrats pick up Pennsylvania (John Fetterman) and narrowly hold onto Georgia, Connecticut, Washington, and Colorado. Republicans also win close races in North Carolina, Wisconsin, and Ohio.


Version: 7

Republicans pick up Nevada (Adam Laxalt), Arizona (Blake Masters), New Hampshire (Chuck Morse), Connecticut (Themis Klarides), Washington (Tiffany Smiley), and Colorado (Joe O'Dea). Joe Manchin and Krysten Sinema also switch over to the Republican Party after much wooing by Mitch McConnell, John Barrasso, and John Thune.<br /> <br /> Raphael Warnock does end up surviving narrowly because Herschel Walker is so mentally compromised that he makes Donald Trump look like Albert Einstein or Thomas Edison in terms of intellect.


Version: 6

Republicans pick up Nevada (Adam Laxalt), Arizona (Blake Masters), Georgia (Herschel Walker), New Hampshire (Chuck Morse), Connecticut (Themis Klarides), Washington (Tiffany Smiley), and Colorado (Joe O'Dea). Joe Manchin and Krysten Sinema also switch over to the Republican Party after much wooing by Mitch McConnell, John Barrasso, and John Thune.


Version: 5

Republicans pick up Nevada (Adam Laxalt), Georgia (Herschel Walker), Connecticut (Themis Klarides), Arizona (Blake Masters), Colorado (Eli Bremer), Oregon (Jo Rae Perkins), New Hampshire (Chuck Morse), and Washington (Tiffany Smiley).


Version: 4

Republicans pick up Nevada (Adam Laxalt), Georgia (Herschel Walker), Connecticut (JR Romano), Arizona (Blake Masters), Maryland (Larry Hogan), Hawaii (Tulsi Gabbard runs as a Trump aligned independent and defeats Brian Schatz), New Hampshire (Chuck Morse), and Washington (Tiffany Smiley).


Version: 3

Republicans pick up Nevada (Adam Laxalt), Georgia (Herschel Walker), Connecticut (JR Romano), Arizona (Blake Masters), Maryland (Larry Hogan), and Hawaii (Tulsi Gabbard runs as a Trump aligned independent and defeats Brian Schatz in a three way race with former Governor Neil Abercrombie running as an independent).


Version: 2

Republicans pick up Nevada (Adam Laxalt), Georgia (Herschel Walker), Arizona (Blake Masters), Maryland (Larry Hogan), and Hawaii (Tulsi Gabbard runs as a Republican aligned independent and defeats Brian Schatz in a three way race).


Version: 1

Republicans pick up Nevada (Adam Laxalt), Georgia (Herschel Walker), Arizona (Blake Masters), Maryland (Larry Hogan), and Hawaii (Tulsi Gabbard runs as a Republican aligned independent and defeats Brian Schatz in a three way race).


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 246
P 2022 Senate 28/35 8/35 36/70 51.4% pie 10 11 300305
P 2022 Governor 24/36 6/36 30/72 41.7% pie 4 11 269272
P 2021 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 5 13 111T118
P 2020 President 48/56 21/56 69/112 61.6% pie 37 6 675684
P 2020 Senate 28/35 8/35 36/70 51.4% pie 36 4 421423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 1/11 12/22 54.5% pie 2 17 284T293
P 2018 Senate 31/35 13/35 44/70 62.9% pie 10 9 402T483
P 2018 Governor 30/36 17/36 47/72 65.3% pie 6 11 273T372
P 2017 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 114 40T149
P 2016 President 48/56 23/56 71/112 63.4% pie 26 2 552T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 12/34 42/68 61.8% pie 23 2 327T362
P 2016 Governor 8/12 3/12 11/24 45.8% pie 9 1 223T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 4 1 8T112
P 2014 Senate 34/36 20/36 54/72 75.0% pie 38 5 138T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 14/36 45/72 62.5% pie 30 1 145T300
Aggregate Predictions 356/425 149/425 505/850 59.4% pie



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