PredictionsEndorse2022 Senatorial Predictions - NYCMM (C-NY) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2021-12-26 Version:1

Prediction Map
NYCMM MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
NYCMM MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
18 |
35 |
50 |
Dem10
 
pie
Rep24
 
Ind0
 
Non16
 

Confidence States Won
18 |
35 |
50 |
Dem10
 
pie
Rep24
 
Ind0
 
Tos0
 
Non16
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-40-49110-4
Rep+40+400015520+4
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (118th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic103444
Republican242953
Independent022
pie

Analysis

New York, California, Maryland, Vermont, Hawaii, Connecticut ALL under 60% Dem due to strong pro-R swings from 2020 results <br /> <br /> Dems have a tiny sliver of a chance at NV/NH/PA in the best of circumstances, but their chances of going Republican is about as strong as FL&TX were of going Democrap in 2020 (i.e. lots of people think there's a solid chance, but it turns out the stars really needed to align for Trump not to easily win them).


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2022 Senate /34 /34 /68 % pie 304
P 2022 Governor /37 /37 /74 % pie 271
P 2020 President 48/56 32/56 80/112 71.4% pie 2 404 627T684
P 2019 Governor 1/3 0/3 1/6 16.7% pie 1 16 179T192
Aggregate Predictions 49/59 32/59 81/118 68.6% pie



Alabama3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Arizona3 Arkansas3 California3 California3 California3 California3 Colorado3 Connecticut3 Connecticut3 Florida3 Georgia3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Idaho3 Illinois3 Indiana3 Iowa3 Kansas3 Kentucky3 Louisiana3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Missouri3 Nevada3 New Hampshire3 New York3 New York3 North Carolina3 North Dakota3 Ohio3 Oklahoma2 Oklahoma3 Oregon3 Pennsylvania3 South Carolina3 South Dakota3 Utah3 Vermont3 Washington3 Washington3 Washington3 Wisconsin3 Wisconsin3

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