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Date of Prediction: 2021-12-26 Version:1
Prediction Map
* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (118th Congress):
Prediction Score (max Score = 70)
Analysis
New York, California, Maryland, Vermont, Hawaii, Connecticut ALL under 60% Dem due to strong pro-R swings from 2020 results <br /> <br /> Dems have a tiny sliver of a chance at NV/NH/PA in the best of circumstances, but their chances of going Republican is about as strong as FL&TX were of going Democrap in 2020 (i.e. lots of people think there's a solid chance, but it turns out the stars really needed to align for Trump not to easily win them). Member Comments User's Predictions
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