Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)
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  Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)  (Read 25960 times)
Fusionmunster
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« Reply #225 on: April 19, 2016, 08:15:57 PM »

Benchmarks says the exit polls could be very wrong, anything to keep my hopes up.
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The Free North
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« Reply #226 on: April 19, 2016, 08:16:44 PM »

Were the exit #s that were released including Upstate places that opened polls at 12? Or just NYC/Buffalo?
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Crumpets
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« Reply #227 on: April 19, 2016, 08:17:43 PM »

Hillary currently up around 10,000 votes with 4% in.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #228 on: April 19, 2016, 08:17:56 PM »

IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII think its not going to be that close.... Exit polls are rubbish.
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Wells
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« Reply #229 on: April 19, 2016, 08:18:45 PM »

Clinton is dominating this!!
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #230 on: April 19, 2016, 08:19:13 PM »

Exit polls and early precinct results are not agreeing. She's winning the white districts by 10 in NYC.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #231 on: April 19, 2016, 08:19:35 PM »

Benchmark is saying the CNN exit polls were incredibly poor.
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The Free North
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« Reply #232 on: April 19, 2016, 08:20:35 PM »

NYC PRECINCT LEVEL DATA!!!!

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/04/19/us/elections/new-york-city-democratic-primary-results.html#12/40.7750/-74.0171

YAY!
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Admiral Kizaru
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« Reply #233 on: April 19, 2016, 08:21:33 PM »

Benchmark is saying the CNN exit polls were incredibly poor.

I hope so!

The early returns are giving me second doubts about the CNN exit polls. I'll guess we'll find out lol.
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Wells
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« Reply #234 on: April 19, 2016, 08:21:53 PM »

My prediction was 61-38 Clinton. Smiley
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Crumpets
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« Reply #235 on: April 19, 2016, 08:25:17 PM »

9% in and Hillary is still up 24%. Even if it's close at the end of the night, I think we can call it for Clinton.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #236 on: April 19, 2016, 08:26:09 PM »

These results are NOT consistent with a 4 point race...
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #237 on: April 19, 2016, 08:27:12 PM »

From Nate Cohn:

Clinton = blue
Sanders = green



Precincts where income is over $100k:


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Maxwell
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« Reply #238 on: April 19, 2016, 08:27:44 PM »

Yeah, exit polls showing Clinton only leading in NYC by 10 is probably not going to be true - She seems to be leading there by 20 or more.
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The Free North
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« Reply #239 on: April 19, 2016, 08:27:59 PM »

From Nate Cohn:

Clinton = blue
Sanders = green



Precincts where income is over $100k:




Heres the link again: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/04/19/us/elections/new-york-city-democratic-primary-results.html#11/40.7100/-73.9800
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #240 on: April 19, 2016, 08:28:14 PM »

These results are NOT consistent with a 4 point race...

THIS is exactly why I wait when the exits don't make sense.
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yourelection
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« Reply #241 on: April 19, 2016, 08:28:39 PM »

Looking strong for Hillary at the moment but when upper state NY comes in, things might get closer to the exit polls.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #242 on: April 19, 2016, 08:29:04 PM »

Hillary now up over 63,000 votes. Also outperforming exit poll in NYC by 14 points.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #243 on: April 19, 2016, 08:29:41 PM »

Looking strong for Hillary at the moment but when upper state NY comes in, things might get closer to the exit polls.

They'll get closer, but I highly doubt they'll get that close.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #244 on: April 19, 2016, 08:30:38 PM »

lol from r/sandersforpresident:

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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #245 on: April 19, 2016, 08:30:38 PM »

Yeah, Hillary is winning this.

Still, if the race ends up within 10, solid performance for Bernie.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #246 on: April 19, 2016, 08:31:05 PM »

Looks like the exit polls heavily relied on Buffalo.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #247 on: April 19, 2016, 08:31:10 PM »

Looking strong for Hillary at the moment but when upper state NY comes in, things might get closer to the exit polls.

How much would Sanders have to dominate to overcome NYC? There is no way the numbers right now are reflecting a 52-48 race.

I think this is why the race is listed as too early, the exits aren't matching the precinct numbers.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #248 on: April 19, 2016, 08:31:59 PM »

The exit polls had a 10 point race in NYC.  Its more like a 20 point race.  No way are they representative.
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Admiral Kizaru
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« Reply #249 on: April 19, 2016, 08:32:16 PM »

lol from r/sandersforpresident:

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I was wondering where jfern was tonight.
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