Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)  (Read 61898 times)
🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
Atlas Star
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Posts: 25,728
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Political Matrix
E: 1.29, S: -0.70

WWW
« on: February 01, 2016, 10:45:36 PM »

AP says Sanders is leading in Delegates (actual delegates) 19-18. Clinton still leads in precinct level delegates 568-557.

Yum!

But how?

From what I understand none of the actual delegates are assigned today. It is some sort of delegate equivalents, all indireclty computed. Given how close it comes out, the idea of reporting not the vote but some sort of notional vote instead is looking increasingly not smart.

Precinct delegates are assigned tonight at the precinct caucuses.  The state level delegates are not.
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,728
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: 1.29, S: -0.70

WWW
« Reply #1 on: February 01, 2016, 10:53:59 PM »


https://www.washingtonpost.com/2016-election-results/iowa/
 3 precinct delegate (SDE) difference
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,728
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: 1.29, S: -0.70

WWW
« Reply #2 on: February 02, 2016, 02:56:11 PM »

According to the link on uselectionatlas It seems the raw votes are

Clinton     69,631
Sanders   69,319
O'Malley       758

So Clinton wins by around 300 votes.

These are the State Delegate Equivalent numbers multiplied by 100.  Not raw vote totals in any way, shape, or form.

Note that means each county's vote totals should sum up to a multiple of 100 (modulo rounding errors).  This is not the case in Kossuth, Hancock, or Fremont counties, where some results must have just been irretrievably lost.

I was thinking they would report this in terms of the precinct delegates.  I guess maybe the reason they don't is that some delegates are not explicitly committed??
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,728
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: 1.29, S: -0.70

WWW
« Reply #3 on: February 02, 2016, 04:52:25 PM »

**big pdf warning**  Tongue

good find though.   you seem to be one of the few people in the country who has some understanding of this confusing process.
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,728
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: 1.29, S: -0.70

WWW
« Reply #4 on: February 03, 2016, 01:23:53 AM »


Are these county delegates or SDEs?   Do you know why there are so many blank areas?
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