Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread) (user search)
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  Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread)  (Read 235642 times)
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #75 on: September 24, 2015, 07:13:15 AM »

Mainstreet's Ontario poll has 38/34/22. If you'd told me 4 years ago that EKOS would be bullish and Ipsos bearish on our fortunes...
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #76 on: September 24, 2015, 08:02:54 AM »

They would defeat Harper on the Throne Speech as happened in Ontario 30 years ago. Working with Jason Kenney would be no more palatable to them than Harper.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #77 on: September 24, 2015, 09:28:08 AM »

At this rate, I just want this stupid deadlock to end.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #78 on: September 24, 2015, 09:03:05 PM »

No clear winner, but if I had to pick someone I'd say Duceppe.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #79 on: September 25, 2015, 10:16:16 AM »
« Edited: September 25, 2015, 10:20:30 AM by RogueBeaver »

What DC said. Other reasons: Housefather is more popular locally than Libman for a few reasons both provincial and municipal (Cote-St-Luc stuff, Libman's long involvement with Tremblay), plus Trudeau is more popular among Jews than Dion/Iggy. Finally, Liberals are obviously polling better than 2011.

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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #80 on: September 25, 2015, 02:40:35 PM »

Ivison on Tory Maritime woes.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #81 on: September 25, 2015, 07:22:18 PM »

IRG: 31/30/29.

Some people deserve each other.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #82 on: September 26, 2015, 12:17:47 PM »

Radwanski on NB.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #83 on: September 27, 2015, 08:34:46 AM »
« Edited: September 27, 2015, 08:43:19 AM by RogueBeaver »

Star on Brampton. Also waiting to see if Abacus/Ipsos are showing similar movement to Nanos. Speaking of Abacus...

UdM polling guru Claire Durand: here in QC IVR gives CPC/BQ higher # than live interviews, internet has LPC higher than NDP. Overall: English Canadian polling could underestimate the Tories, and as usual watch methodologies/overall pic.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #84 on: September 28, 2015, 07:14:51 AM »

I don't believe Abacus showing the Dippers tumbling into a 3-way race here in QC. Nanos seems more believable.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #85 on: September 28, 2015, 04:22:37 PM »

Ipsos: 33/32/27.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #86 on: September 29, 2015, 03:57:08 PM »

Post on EgLaw, HuffPo on Mont-Royal.

Kheiriddin on the debate.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #87 on: September 29, 2015, 06:59:02 PM »

Think that OWN poll has a Grit lead, DC.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #88 on: September 30, 2015, 08:27:03 AM »
« Edited: September 30, 2015, 08:29:24 AM by RogueBeaver »

Ian MacDonald on the NDP campaign.

Gazette on the niqab debate.

Harper interview.

Hmm.

Kinsella on the Yukon rematch.

Noah Richler makes the wrong kind of news.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #89 on: September 30, 2015, 06:52:05 PM »

Grit candidate in Victoria fired for comments about Islam and the Mideast.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #90 on: September 30, 2015, 07:40:04 PM »

There has been open debate in the NDP on niqabs: 2 incumbent candidates today dissented from Mulcair's view. Today Mulcair himself said he understands people's unease and the niqab makes him personally uncomfortable, while reiterating his position. We'll see what happens at the TVA debate on Thursday.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #91 on: October 01, 2015, 07:16:21 AM »

Forum: 34/28/27.

Hébert: Dippers slipping here because of their platform, being 3rd in English Canada with niqabs as a catalyst.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #92 on: October 01, 2015, 11:13:41 AM »

Has such a situation ever occurred provincially, where a plurality party is shut out by an alliance of smaller parties?

Ontario 1985, Saskatchewan 1929, federal 1925
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #93 on: October 01, 2015, 01:17:51 PM »

Angus-Reid: 34/27/27.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #94 on: October 01, 2015, 02:07:00 PM »

Interview with one of the niqab-wearing women in question.

Poilievre declines to rule out a future ban on face covering in the public service.

Another NDP candidate makes the news.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #95 on: October 01, 2015, 04:43:58 PM »

Chrétien says the West should support Putin's Syrian intervention.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #96 on: October 01, 2015, 08:09:15 PM »

Ottawa Citizen on Ottawa West-Nepean.

Fantino story reminds me of Layton's massage parlour story.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #97 on: October 01, 2015, 11:47:06 PM »

Leger will show the Dippers at 28% here in QC. Unfortunately Le Devoir site is down ATM...
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #98 on: October 01, 2015, 11:58:35 PM »

Yeah, poll's out later today. They say English Canada's a CPC/LPC race, so I assume still competitive in ROC.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #99 on: October 02, 2015, 06:13:18 AM »

32/30/26. QC: 30/27/22/18 among Francophones, 28/24/22/21 topline. Grits lead in BC/ON.

[url=http://www.ledevoir.com/documents/pdf/suivson_can_2015210.pdf]Breguet projects 40-54 NPD seats here.
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