ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are

[SnowLabrador]

A friend who lives in North Dakota told me the following:

"The DAP pipeline stuff was really polarizing though.  If you see early weakness in returns in Fargo, and then weakness when cities in and around the reservation polling stations start to close she's done for".

[Ashley Biden's Diary]

Looks like ND is turning into WY.

[Politician]

Who else misses January, when it was Heitkamp vs. Tom Campbell, she was incredibly popular, and the race was Lean D?

Who else misses 2017, where McCaskill was getting blanched by Ann Wagner, Sherrod Brown was losing to Josh Mandel, Bob Casey was highly vulnerable, and Tennessee and Texas were completely safe for the Republicans (moreso than Utah)?

[Xing]

Who else misses January, when it was Heitkamp vs. Tom Campbell, she was incredibly popular, and the race was Lean D?

Who else misses 2017, where McCaskill was getting blanched by Ann Wagner, Sherrod Brown was losing to Josh Mandel, Bob Casey was highly vulnerable, and Tennessee and Texas were completely safe for the Republicans (moreso than Utah)?

Not to mention Donnelly had a 0% chance of winning, Baldwin was extremely vulnerable to god-tier candidate Sean Duffy while Walker was "cruising", Senator-elect Rock was going to pull off an upset against Stabenow, and Maine/Virginia were "sleeper races"

Anyway, Heitkamp being in danger should be no surprise to anyone, though obviously she can't be counted out, since a 4% lead isn't insurmountable, especially since her party is having a good year.

[IceSpear]

Who else misses January, when it was Heitkamp vs. Tom Campbell, she was incredibly popular, and the race was Lean D?

Who else misses 2017, where McCaskill was getting blanched by Ann Wagner, Sherrod Brown was losing to Josh Mandel, Bob Casey was highly vulnerable, and Tennessee and Texas were completely safe for the Republicans (moreso than Utah)?

Not to mention Donnelly had a 0% chance of winning, Baldwin was extremely vulnerable to god-tier candidate Sean Duffy while Walker was "cruising", Senator-elect Rock was going to pull off an upset against Stabenow, and Maine/Virginia were "sleeper races"

Anyway, Heitkamp being in danger should be no surprise to anyone, though obviously she can't be counted out, since a 4% lead isn't insurmountable, especially since her party is having a good year.

Sen-elect Rock wouldn't have been an upset, he was inevitable.

Nothing will top early 2009 though, when Dems were on track to gain many seats, and their only vulnerable seats were Arkansas (but Blanche is still favored!) and California (but ONLY if Schwarzenegger runs!)

And yet we have people acting as if they know what the political environment will be like in 2024...

[Antonio the Sixth]

Yeah, people who try to predict Congressional election results more than a year before always end up looking really, really dumb. Hence why I never touch these threads with a 10-foot pole.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

But Cramer Supports the tariffs that will screw over farmers! Do voters not care about issues?

[Antonio the Sixth]

But Cramer Supports the tariffs that will screw over farmers! Do voters not care about issues?

Generally speaking, no, they don't.

[MT Treasurer]

Now I understand why you think she's heavily favored. She's hard not to like.

If it weren't for polarization, I'd definitely rate this Safe D. But Lean/Likely D seems about right for now. She's probably going to steamroll her opponent anyway, though, regardless of whether 2018 is a good year for Rs or not.  

Why can't Republicans run candidates like Heitkamp everywhere?

lmao

Still, I think moving it to Lean R was definitely premature, especially in an environment like this.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Now I understand why you think she's heavily favored. She's hard not to like.

If it weren't for polarization, I'd definitely rate this Safe D. But Lean/Likely D seems about right for now. She's probably going to steamroll her opponent anyway, though, regardless of whether 2018 is a good year for Rs or not.  

Why can't Republicans run candidates like Heitkamp everywhere?

lmao

Still, I think moving it to Lean R was definitely premature, especially in an environment like this.

[Former Kentuckian]

Heitkamp has the endorsement of North Dakota United, the union for public workers and educators. I don't know how far union endorsements go in North Dakota, but she now has that on top of her endorsement from the Farmers Union

[Former Kentuckian]

Amy Klobuchar made an appearance in North Dakota on behalf of Heitkamp, and the two did some press rounds together:

http://www.wday.com/news/government-and-politics/4500366-evening-heitkamp-and-klobuchar-talking-kavanaugh-farm-bill-and

https://www.kvrr.com/2018/09/15/sens-heitkamp-and-klobuchar-attend-annual-dem-npl-burdick-dinner/

[Antonio the Sixth]

Amy Klobuchar made an appearance in North Dakota on behalf of Heitkamp, and the two did some press rounds together:

http://www.wday.com/news/government-and-politics/4500366-evening-heitkamp-and-klobuchar-talking-kavanaugh-farm-bill-and

https://www.kvrr.com/2018/09/15/sens-heitkamp-and-klobuchar-attend-annual-dem-npl-burdick-dinner/

Klobuchar's mega-coattails should be enough to save Heitkamp.

[Former Kentuckian]

Amy Klobuchar made an appearance in North Dakota on behalf of Heitkamp, and the two did some press rounds together:

http://www.wday.com/news/government-and-politics/4500366-evening-heitkamp-and-klobuchar-talking-kavanaugh-farm-bill-and

https://www.kvrr.com/2018/09/15/sens-heitkamp-and-klobuchar-attend-annual-dem-npl-burdick-dinner/

Klobuchar's mega-coattails should be enough to save Heitkamp.

lol I wish!

[Progressive Pessimist]

Amy Klobuchar made an appearance in North Dakota on behalf of Heitkamp, and the two did some press rounds together:

http://www.wday.com/news/government-and-politics/4500366-evening-heitkamp-and-klobuchar-talking-kavanaugh-farm-bill-and

https://www.kvrr.com/2018/09/15/sens-heitkamp-and-klobuchar-attend-annual-dem-npl-burdick-dinner/

Klobuchar's mega-coattails should be enough to save Heitkamp.

Between that post and your avatar, I mistook you for Cory Booker.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think Kavanaugh allegations helps the women running for office including Heidi. At the expense of Tester and Nelson

[Progressive Pessimist]

I think I summoned him!

[Antonio the Sixth]

Amy Klobuchar made an appearance in North Dakota on behalf of Heitkamp, and the two did some press rounds together:

http://www.wday.com/news/government-and-politics/4500366-evening-heitkamp-and-klobuchar-talking-kavanaugh-farm-bill-and

https://www.kvrr.com/2018/09/15/sens-heitkamp-and-klobuchar-attend-annual-dem-npl-burdick-dinner/

Klobuchar's mega-coattails should be enough to save Heitkamp.

Between that post and your avatar, I mistook you for Cory Booker.

Mega-coattails were Aizen's creation, not OC's.

[KingSweden]

Cramer with some remarkable tone deafness on Kavanaugh

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2018/09/21/politics/kfile-cramer/index.html?__twitter_impression=true

[Brittain33]

Cramer with some remarkable tone deafness on Kavanaugh

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2018/09/21/politics/kfile-cramer/index.html?__twitter_impression=true

Oh boy. I bet he didn’t want to spend the next two weeks explaining what he really meant here, but tough luck. Get ‘em, Heidi.

[TarHeelDem]

Jesus. This man is too stupid to be a United States Senator.

[pppolitics]

North Dakota GOP Senate nominee Kevin Cramer said on Friday that the accusation against Supreme Court pick Brett Kavanaugh was "even more absurd" than Anita Hill's accusation against Clarence Thomas because Kavanaugh and his accuser were drunk teenagers when the alleged incident occurred.

Cramer added that Ford's allegations were less legitimate than Hill's in part because the assault she describes "never went anywhere."

Cramer, who currently represents North Dakota as a congressman, was comparing Hill's 1991 allegations of workplace sexual harassment against the later-confirmed Supreme Court nominee Clarence Thomas to California professor Christine Blasey Ford's current allegation of sexual assault against Kavanaugh.

"If to the degree there was any legitimacy to Anita Hill's claims, and she tried and didn't prevail -- Clarence Thomas did and America did -- this case is even more absurd because these people were teenagers when this supposed alleged incident took place," Cramer said on the Jarrod Thomas Show on 1310 KNOX, a local North Dakota radio station. "Teenagers. Not a boss-supervisor-subordinate situation, as the Clarence Thomas-Anita Hill situation was claimed to be. These are teenagers who evidently were drunk, according to her own statement. They were drunk. Nothing evidently happened in it all, even by her own accusation. Again, it was supposedly an attempt or something that never went anywhere."

[libertpaulian]

Didn't Rick Berg make a rape gaffe too?

[Arkansas Yankee]

Here is an article that explains how both Ford and Kavanaugh could believe they are telling the truth and that neither would be lying.  It involves faded memories of long ago events. 

https://apnews.com/4bbe9c74f889442fa969690732e5cc59/Memory's-frailty-may-be-playing-role-in-Kavanaugh-matterk

[Gass3268]

This is Akinesque