2016 Congressional Primaries

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

bernie pls gulag

[windjammer]

like with Shuster, Republican primary voters prove that they don't care about corruption.

but with the defeats of Huelskamp and Forbes, they seem to be moving in a less right-wing direction. Huh.

Not true.
Forbes was defeated because he wasn't from this district, not because he was too rightwing.

The Club for Growth/New York scored big wins in many open seats:
-New York: Claudia Tenney
-North Carolina: Ellmer defeated and a Club for Growth guy won an open seat
-Ohio: Boehner replaced by a tea party guy
-Michigan: 2 open seats won by potential freedom caucus members (http://cookpolitical.com/story/9585)
- Indiana: Jim Banks and Hollinsworth both won and they are 2 freedom caucus guys.

The freedom caucus will most likely become a larger faction among the GOP after the 2016 elections.


 

[Heisenberg]

like with Shuster, Republican primary voters prove that they don't care about corruption.

but with the defeats of Huelskamp and Forbes, they seem to be moving in a less right-wing direction. Huh.

Not true.
Forbes was defeated because he wasn't from this district, not because he was too rightwing.

The Club for Growth/New York scored big wins in many open seats:
-New York: Claudia Tenney
-North Carolina: Ellmer defeated and a Club for Growth guy won an open seat
-Ohio: Boehner replaced by a tea party guy
-Michigan: 2 open seats won by potential freedom caucus members (http://cookpolitical.com/story/9585)
- Indiana: Jim Banks and Hollinsworth both won and they are 2 freedom caucus guys.

The freedom caucus will most likely become a larger faction among the GOP after the 2016 elections.

Forbes was NOT part of the Freedom Caucus. Is the guy who beat him in the primary a Freedom Caucus guy?
So, the FC lost Huelskamp's seat, but picked up Todd Young's seat and held Marlin Stutzman's seat. If Coaudia Tenney wins (R+3 district, but more competitive downballot), she may join (making her the only woman in the FC, pending other races). They also picked up NC-13 and OH-08, and one or two of the Michigan seats. So, if all the candidates mentioned win, the FC has gained (up to) 5 seats (including OH-08) as of now. What about future primaries? Does the Freedom Caucus have more chances to pick up new seats (like in Florida)? I hope not.

[windjammer]

like with Shuster, Republican primary voters prove that they don't care about corruption.

but with the defeats of Huelskamp and Forbes, they seem to be moving in a less right-wing direction. Huh.

Not true.
Forbes was defeated because he wasn't from this district, not because he was too rightwing.

The Club for Growth/New York scored big wins in many open seats:
-New York: Claudia Tenney
-North Carolina: Ellmer defeated and a Club for Growth guy won an open seat
-Ohio: Boehner replaced by a tea party guy
-Michigan: 2 open seats won by potential freedom caucus members (http://cookpolitical.com/story/9585)
- Indiana: Jim Banks and Hollinsworth both won and they are 2 freedom caucus guys.

The freedom caucus will most likely become a larger faction among the GOP after the 2016 elections.

Forbes was NOT part of the Freedom Caucus. Is the guy who beat him in the primary a Freedom Caucus guy?
So, the FC lost Huelskamp's seat, but picked up Todd Young's seat and held Marlin Stutzman's seat. If Coaudia Tenney wins (R+3 district, but more competitive downballot), she may join (making her the only woman in the FC, pending other races). They also picked up NC-13 and OH-08, and one or two of the Michigan seats. So, if all the candidates mentioned win, the FC has gained (up to) 5 seats (including OH-08) as of now. What about future primaries? Does the Freedom Caucus have more chances to pick up new seats (like in Florida)? I hope not.

Never said Forbes was a member of the FC.

My point is that the Freedom Caucus is likely to at least expand their influence inside the GOP (becoming proportionnally more important), or even picking seats.

[Badger]

Associated Press called the race for DesJarlais.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Based on late ballots, calling the Washington 7th 2nd slot for Walkinshaw (Jayapal has the first slot) and the Washington 8th 2nd slot for Ventrella (Reichert has the first slot). That wraps up WA, though counting will continue for another week - 35k ballots left statewide but it's not enough to realistically change anything.

Tomorrow is the next set of primaries. VT/CT/MN/WI. First polls close at 7 ET.

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

So is it fair to assume DesJarlais won his primary on the backs of Democratic votes?  The seat is too Republican to be even remotely competitive now, but obviously the TNDP would rather face DesJarlais than anyone else, if not keep him around as a punching bag.

Who did the party establishment back in that primary, by the way?

[Kingpoleon]

Proud of my state, and happy to see FF Jayapal triggering people who assume she's a socialist because Bernie endorsed her. Yeah, Murray and Inslee are safe, and so is Heck.

There was a socialist elected to the Seattle City Council, my guess is that the people here believe Jayapal is that person.  Jayapal is a Democratic State Senator, not a Seattle City Councilor.

Jayapal is a socialist too.

Just because someone is really liberal and you don't like them doesn't make then a socialist. 

If Bernie, who is a socialist, endorsed them during the primaries, they are a socialist. During primaries, there is no reason why a socialist would endorse a non-socialist as it would be against their interests.

And this is the reason that you sound really stupid when you type.

Right, because I tell the truth that everyone else is unable to realize.

A Bernie endorsement = socialist? I guess Hillary's a socialist too, then!

He endorsed Hillary in a general election. That's different.

So he couldn't have just thought Jayapal was the best candidate? And we shouldn't judge her on her own merits, and not merely the fact that Sanders supported her?

This might have had some merit if Bernie had endorsed lots of downballot democrats across the country, but he's only endorsed 5: Teachout, Kingston (lost primary), Flores (lost primary), Jayapal, Canova. The one thing they all have in common - all considered the most liberal candidate running, and all endorsed Sanders for President. That pretty much screams socialist.

#SocialistsAgainstTheIranDeal

[100% pro-life no matter what]

So is it fair to assume DesJarlais won his primary on the backs of Democratic votes?  The seat is too Republican to be even remotely competitive now, but obviously the TNDP would rather face DesJarlais than anyone else, if not keep him around as a punching bag.

Who did the party establishment back in that primary, by the way?

It didn't really seem like either.  My friend base was pro-Starrett, but that doesn't seem to mean anything these days.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

So, some bad news - tonight is really only three states, not four - Connecticut doesn't have any contested congressional/gubernatorial races.

This is the list of contested races by poll closing time:

7 ET: VT SEN D, VT GOV D & R

9 ET: MN-1 R, MN-2 R, MN-4 D & R, MN-5 D, MN-6 D & R, MN-7 R, WI-1 D & R, WI-3 D, WI-4 D, WI-6 D, WI-7 D & R, WI-8 R, WI SEN D

Results links:

http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/vermont
http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/minnesota
http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/wisconsin

[Drew]

I voted this morning a bit after 7 when the polls opened.  Unlike the spring presidential primary, the place was a ghost town.  Only a few other people there.  They're predicting a 16% turnout in WI.  Afterward, I posted on Facebook that I voted.  An out of state relative was suprised that there would be a primary during summer vacations, etc.  Apparently it used to be held in the Fall (I'm new to WI) until Walker and Co. came along.  Another way to minimize turnout.

EDIT:  I'm in WI-2, so no Ryan/Nehlen for me.  Nothing contested on the GOP side here.  Just the Senate race, DA race, and county treasurer were the only ones contested in the primaries.

[ElectionsGuy]

I voted this morning a bit after 7 when the polls opened.  Unlike the spring presidential primary, the place was a ghost town.  Only a few other people there.  They're predicting a 16% turnout in WI.  Afterward, I posted on Facebook that I voted.  An out of state relative was suprised that there would be a primary during summer vacations, etc.  Apparently it used to be held in the Fall (I'm new to WI) until Walker and Co. came along.  Another way to minimize turnout.

A lot of states have their primaries around this time. Why is it a conspiracy to limit voting?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Vermont Polls have closed.

[Pandaguineapig]

Vermont Polls have closed.

Usually there's a slow vote count there, for some reason. As bad as MS.

Counting votes is hard when you're high

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

30 minutes pass, not a single vote gets counted.

[Xing]

Scott is losing badly in Vermont, but with only .4% in (108 votes, lol.) Minter is up by 15.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

First Results (0.4% in):

Minter leads Dunne 51%-37% for VT DEM GOV
Lisman leads Scott (!) 71%-29% for VT REP GOV
Leahy leads Ericson 89%-11% for VT DEM SEN

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

0.7% in, Minter ahead of Dunne 48%-36%, Lisman ahead of Scott 62%-38%

[Xing]

Scott's up 59-41 now. The Democratic race is closer, with Dunne leading Minter by 2.

[RogueBeaver]

Minter up 44-39, Scott 65/35.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Minter up 45-43, Scott 60-40, Leahy 87-13

3% in

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Minter 52-38, Scott 66-34, Leahy 89-11

8% in

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Leahy projected to win renomination for VT SEN D. up 89-11 with 12% in.

[Pandaguineapig]

This looks good so far, Scott is the Strongest republican and Minter is the Weakest Democrat

[Pandaguineapig]

I'm also shocked at how bad Galbraith is doing