New Tradesports rankings

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Massive drop in Clinton, with a corresponding rise in Obama. I think he hit a record high of 38.5 the other day. Richardson drops a bit.

Thompson and Romney both drop.  McCain slightly recovers. Paul goes down to more reasonable levels.  The minor Republicans have a fair amount of movement; Brownback tanks, Tancredo doubles.  No bid for Powell.

Democrats
Clinton 40.9
Obama 37.5
Gore 8.9
Edwards 5.6
Richardson 1.8
Clark 0.7
Biden 0.6
Dodd 0.4
Kerry 0.3


Republicans
Giuliani 36.0
Thompson 34.7
Romney 17.0
McCain 5.0
Paul 2.8
Gingrich 2.3
Huckabee 0.9
J. Bush 0.6
Rice 0.5
Hagel 0.4
Cheney 0.4
Tancredo 0.4
Bloomberg 0.3
T. Thompson 0.2
Brownback 0.1
Hunter 0.1

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Clinton recovers a bit. However, Obama also increases, and is near his record high. Gore goes down.

Romney goes down to what appears to be a several week low.  Huckabee almost doubles.

Democrats
Clinton 42.5
Obama 38.8
Gore 7.1
Edwards 5.8
Richardson 1.8
Clark 0.7
Biden 0.6
Dodd 0.4
Kerry 0.3
Warner 0.1


Republicans
Giuliani 36.2
Thompson 34.5
Romney 15.9
McCain 5.0
Paul 2.5
Gingrich 2.3
Huckabee 1.6
J. Bush 0.6
Hagel 0.6
Rice 0.5
Cheney 0.4
Tancredo 0.4
Bloomberg 0.3
T. Thompson 0.2
Brownback 0.1
Hunter 0.1

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Clinton up, Edwards down.

Thompson up, Giuliani down.  Gingrich gains, some other minor candidates tend to slide a bit. Brownback gains.

Democrats
Clinton 43.8
Obama 38.7
Gore 6.7
Edwards 5.1
Richardson 1.8
Clark 0.7
Biden 0.5
Dodd 0.4
Kerry 0.2
Warner 0.1


Republicans
Thompson 35.7
Giuliani 35.4
Romney 15.5
McCain 4.7
Gingrich 3.8
Paul 2.4
Huckabee 1.2
J. Bush 0.6
Hagel 0.6
Rice 0.6
Cheney 0.4
Tancredo 0.4
Bloomberg 0.3
Brownback 0.3
T. Thompson 0.2
Hunter 0.2

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Clinton up. Gore drops a bit and Edwards gains, Edwards could take 3rd place soon.

Huge surge for Giuliani. He is close to his record high, and is now significantly ahead of Thompson. Romney recovers a bit. McCain has tanked so much that he actually went up to 4 in the last couple of hours.  Gingrich goes down. Minor candidates go down.

Democrats
Clinton 45.0
Obama 38.0
Gore 6.0
Edwards 5.5
Richardson 1.9
Clark 0.7
Biden 0.5
Dodd 0.4
Kerry 0.2
Warner 0.1


Republicans
Giuliani 40.0
Thompson 35.5
Romney 18.0
McCain 4.0
Paul 2.6
Gingrich 2.3
Huckabee 1.4
Hagel 0.7
J. Bush 0.5
Tancredo 0.3
Cheney 0.3
Rice 0.3
Bloomberg 0.2
T. Thompson 0.2
Hunter 0.1
Brownback 0.1

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Clinton down, Obama up and close to his record high. As usual, the minor Democrats are pretty stationary.

The top 3 Republicans drop. Huckabee and Rice gain.

Democrats
Clinton 43.5
Obama 38.5
Gore 6.1
Edwards 5.7
Richardson 1.9
Clark 0.7
Biden 0.5
Dodd 0.4
Kerry 0.2
Warner 0.1


Republicans
Giuliani 38.0
Thompson 32.5
Romney 16.0
McCain 4.0
Paul 2.8
Gingrich 2.3
Huckabee 2.0
Rice 1.0
Hagel 0.7
J. Bush 0.6
Tancredo 0.3
Cheney 0.3
Bloomberg 0.2
T. Thompson 0.2
Hunter 0.1
Brownback 0.1
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People are wasting their hard earned money on Joe Biden.

The top Republican candidates gain.  Huckabee tanks.



Democrats
Clinton 44.1
Obama 38.0
Gore 6.3
Edwards 5.7
Richardson 1.9
Biden 0.9
Clark 0.7
Dodd 0.4
Kerry 0.2
Warner 0.1


Republicans
Giuliani 39.0
Thompson 33.9
Romney 16.4
McCain 5.0
Paul 2.8
Gingrich 2.5
Huckabee 1.2
Rice 0.7
Hagel 0.7
J. Bush 0.5
Tancredo 0.3
Cheney 0.3
Bloomberg 0.2
T. Thompson 0.1
Hunter 0.1
Brownback 0.1

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Nothing too exciting...

Democrats
Clinton 44.4
Obama 38.9
Gore 5.8
Edwards 5.3
Richardson 2.0
Clark 0.7
Biden 0.6
Dodd 0.3
Kerry 0.2
Warner 0.1


Republicans
Giuliani 37.9
Thompson 33.8
Romney 16.0
McCain 5.0
Paul 2.8
Gingrich 2.5
Huckabee 1.2
Rice 0.7
Hagel 0.7
J. Bush 0.5
Tancredo 0.3
Cheney 0.3
Bloomberg 0.2
T. Thompson 0.1
Hunter 0.1
Brownback 0.1

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I'm a bit suprised that Richardson is not a little closer to Edwards, due to the how close they both were in fundrasing. I mean, he may not be up there in the polls yet, but if you look at the Republican side, Paul's pretty high, assumingly based at least somewhat on his fundraising.

Richardson gets an F for his knowledge of Roe v. Wade.

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Hillary may have picked up some momentum.  Biden and Richardson gain.

Giuliani solidifies his front runner status. Lots of minor candidates tank, only 7 Republicans are above 0.4 now.

Democrats
Clinton 45.5
Obama 38.9
Gore 5.9
Edwards 5.4
Richardson 2.5
Biden 0.9
Clark 0.7
Dodd 0.3
Kerry 0.2


Republicans
Giuliani 39.8
Thompson 33.4
Romney 15.4
McCain 4.9
Paul 2.7
Gingrich 2.0
Huckabee 0.8
Rice 0.4
J. Bush 0.3
Hagel 0.3
Brownback 0.3
Tancredo 0.2
Cheney 0.2
Bloomberg 0.2
T. Thompson 0.1
Hunter 0.1

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Gore drops enough that Edwards takes 3rd place.

Nothing exciting on the Republican side.


Democrats
Clinton 45.7
Obama 38.9
Edwards 5.4
Gore 5.1
Richardson 2.5
Biden 0.8
Clark 0.7
Dodd 0.3
Kerry 0.3


Republicans
Giuliani 39.0
Thompson 34.2
Romney 15.1
McCain 4.9
Paul 2.7
Gingrich 2.0
Huckabee 0.8
Rice 0.5
Hagel 0.4
J. Bush 0.3
Brownback 0.2
Tancredo 0.2
Cheney 0.2
Bloomberg 0.2
T. Thompson 0.1

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Post-debate Democratic status: Clinton, Edwards gain. Obama slightly down. Gore down to a solid 4th. Lower tier candidates unchanged.

Giuliani, Romney gain. Thompson getting stale. Gingrich's threats to run make him gain.

Democrats
Clinton 46.6
Obama 38.5
Edwards 6.0
Gore 4.6
Richardson 2.5
Biden 0.8
Clark 0.7
Dodd 0.3
Kerry 0.3

Republicans
Giuliani 40.0
Thompson 32.6
Romney 17.0
McCain 5.0
Gingrich 2.9
Paul 2.6
Huckabee 0.9
Rice 0.7
Hagel 0.6
Brownback 0.2
Tancredo 0.2
Cheney 0.2
Bloomberg 0.2
J. Bush 0.1

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Winning indivdual

Clinton 28.3
Obama 22.0
Giuliani 20.0
Thompson 16.6
Romney 7.7
Gore 4.1
Edwards 3.7
McCain 3.7
Bloomberg 3.5

Political party winner
Democrat 56.6
Republican 38.7
Field 4.7

Congressional Democratic odds
House 82.0
Senate 81.2

Will run
Bloomberg 41.5
Gingrich 30.0
Gore 15.5

Democratic odds by state
DC 97.5
MA 95.0
NY 91.5
HI 91.0
RI 90
MD 90.0
CA 87.5
VT 86.5
CT 85.0
DE 85.0
NJ 82.6
IL 82.0
MI 80.0
NH 80.0
OR 77.5
PA 77.5
WA 75.0
MN 73.5
ME 71.0
WI 70.0
NV 60.0
NM 60.0
MO 55.0 (CRITICAL STATE)
OH 51.5
IA 49.0
FL 42.5
CO 38.0
WV 35.0
AZ 27.5
AR 24.5
KS 24.5
VA 24.5
IN 22.5
KY 22.5
LA 20.0
TN 18.0
GA 15.0
NC 15.0
SD 15.0
AK 10.0
MS 10.0
MT 10.0
ND 10.0
OK10.0
SC 10.0
TX 10.0
NE 8.0
UT 7.7
WY 7.5
AL 6.0
ID 5.0

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Lots of movement on the Democratic side. Hillary gains. Obama drops. Biden is now the highest in a while. Dodd and Kerry completely drop off.

McCain and Paul gain a bit.

Democrats
Clinton 48.0
Obama 36.4
Edwards 6.0
Gore 5.0
Richardson 2.8
Biden 1.3
Clark 0.9

Republicans
Giuliani 40.0
Thompson 32.5
Romney 16.9
McCain 5.6
Paul 3.0
Gingrich 2.8
Huckabee 1.0
Rice 0.9
Hagel 0.8
Bloomberg 0.3
Brownback 0.3
Cheney 0.1
J. Bush 0.1

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Obama slightly gains at Hillary's expense. Biden back down.

Thompson down a fair amount due to crappy fundraising numbers. Romney, McCain, and Gingrich gain. Lower tier candidates drop. There are now only 6 Republicans above 0.7.


Democrats
Clinton 47.1
Obama 37.0
Edwards 6.2
Gore 4.8
Richardson 2.8
Biden 0.8
Clark 0.7

Republicans
Giuliani 39.7
Thompson 28.0
Romney 18.8
McCain 6.3
Gingrich 3.5
Paul 3.0
Huckabee 0.7
Rice 0.7
Hagel 0.5
Bloomberg 0.2
Brownback 0.2
Cheney 0.1
J. Bush 0.1

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Edwards is the highest he's been in a while. More people seem to be finally realizing that Gore isn't going to run.

Giuliani down. Thompson is up as his campaign tanks; maybe the other Republicans are tanking faster? Huckabee was once double digit; he's doing horribly.

Democrats
Clinton 47.9
Obama 36.4
Edwards 6.7
Gore 4.3
Richardson 2.6
Biden 1.0
Clark 0.8

Republicans
Giuliani 37.1
Thompson 28.0
Romney 18.4
McCain 6.1
Gingrich 3.3
Paul 3.2
Hagel 0.9
Rice 0.8
Huckabee 0.5
Bloomberg 0.2
Brownback 0.2
Cheney 0.1
J. Bush 0.1

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Little change on the Democratic side.

Thompson gains at Giuliani and Romney's expenses. McCain is down, now not so far ahead of Paul and Gingrich.


Democrats
Clinton 48.2
Obama 36.0
Edwards 6.7
Gore 4.5
Richardson 2.6
Biden 1.0
Clark 0.8

Republicans
Giuliani 35.7
Thompson 32.9
Romney 16.8
McCain 4.8
Gingrich 3.3
Paul 3.3
Hagel 0.9
Rice 0.8
Huckabee 0.5
Bloomberg 0.2
Brownback 0.2
Cheney 0.1
J. Bush 0.1

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Clinton down.  Edwards is the highest in a while. Gore is the lowest in a while; no longer leading Richardson by much. Biden up.

Large Romney surge. McCain went up as I was typing this.


Democrats
Clinton 47.2
Obama 36.4
Edwards 6.9
Gore 4.1
Richardson 2.8
Biden 1.3
Clark 0.8
Dodd 0.1

Republicans
Giuliani 35.8
Thompson 32.7
Romney 20.0
McCain 5.6
Gingrich 3.1
Paul 3.1
Hagel 0.9
Rice 0.8
Huckabee 0.6
Bloomberg 0.2
Brownback 0.2
Cheney 0.2
J. Bush 0.1

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Edwards continues going up.  Gore recovers a bit.

Giuliani gains. Romney is down. McCain inches up.


Democrats
Clinton 48.0
Obama 35.7
Edwards 7.1
Gore 4.7
Richardson 3.0
Biden 1.3
Clark 0.8
Dodd 0.1

Republicans
Giuliani 37.8
Thompson 32.4
Romney 18.0
McCain 6.2
Paul 3.2
Gingrich 3.1
Rice 1.1
Hagel 1.0
Huckabee 0.6
Bloomberg 0.2
Brownback 0.2
Cheney 0.2
J. Bush 0.1

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Iowa markets

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Biden down, still way overvalued.

Thompson takes a significant hit. McCain and Romney also slide a bit, as do many of the minor candidates. Giuliani's small gain doesn't make up for these losses. Only 9 Republicans are  > 0.1

Democrats
Clinton 48.0
Obama 36.0
Edwards 7.1
Gore 4.7
Richardson 2.7
Biden 1.0
Clark 0.8
Dodd 0.1

Republicans
Giuliani 38.8
Thompson 30.0
Romney 17.3
McCain 5.9
Paul 3.2
Gingrich 3.1
Rice 1.1
Hagel 1.0
Huckabee 0.6
Bloomberg 0.1
Brownback 0.1
Cheney 0.1
J. Bush 0.1
Tancredo 0.1

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Clinton-Obama gap widens. Gore down.

Giuliani drops. Thompson and Romney have slight gains. Long shots gain.

Democrats
Clinton 49.1
Obama 35.0
Edwards 7.2
Gore 4.2
Richardson 2.9
Biden 1.0
Clark 0.8
Dodd 0.1

Republicans
Giuliani 36.1
Thompson 30.8
Romney 17.3
McCain 6.2
Gingrich 3.2
Paul 3.1
Rice 1.1
Hagel 1.0
Huckabee 0.8
Cheney 0.3
J. Bush 0.3
Bloomberg 0.2
Brownback 0.2
Tancredo 0.1
Powell 0.1

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Clinton breaks 50% for the first time in a while.  Gore up. No real corresponding drops.

Giuliani drops. Romney gains. Longshots drop.

Democrats
Clinton 50.3
Obama 34.5
Edwards 7.1
Gore 4.9
Richardson 3.1
Biden 1.1
Clark 0.9
Dodd 0.1

Republicans
Giuliani 35.0
Thompson 30.8
Romney 18.6
McCain 6.4
Paul 3.1
Gingrich 3.0
Rice 1.0
Hagel 0.8
Huckabee 0.7
J. Bush 0.3
Bloomberg 0.2
Brownback 0.2
Tancredo 0.2
Cheney 0.1
Powell 0.1

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Right now only 7 Democrats and 9 Republicans have a last above 0.1.

Obama down, Gore up.

Giuliani and Thompson up. Longshots down, except Hagel.

Democrats
Clinton 50.3
Obama 33.5
Edwards 7.0
Gore 4.5
Richardson 2.9
Biden 1.1
Clark 1.1
Dodd 0.1

Republicans
Giuliani 35.9
Thompson 31.4
Romney 18.5
McCain 6.0
Paul 3.1
Gingrich 3.1
Hagel 1.2
Rice 0.7
Huckabee 0.6
J. Bush 0.1
Bloomberg 0.1
Brownback 0.1
Tancredo 0.1
Cheney 0.1
Powell 0.1
T. Thompson 0.1

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I can't see the bids, so I'm excluding everyone at 0.1.

Clinton gains at Obama's expense.  Clark drops.

Giuliani drops. Romney is up a bit. Tancredo is up.

Democrats
Clinton 52.0
Obama 32.0
Edwards 7.1
Gore 4.6
Richardson 2.9
Biden 1.0
Clark 0.5


Republicans
Giuliani 33.6
Thompson 31.3
Romney 19.3
McCain 5.9
Paul 3.3
Gingrich 3.1
Hagel 1.2
Huckabee 1.0
Rice 0.5
Tancredo 0.4

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Clinton gains at Obama's expense. She's the highest in a while. Biden is massively overvalued.

Thompson gains on Giuliani, they're close to even now.



Democrats
Clinton 54.0
Obama 30.1
Edwards 7.0
Gore 5.0
Richardson 2.6
Biden 1.0
Clark 0.6


Republicans
Giuliani 33.0
Thompson 32.3
Romney 19.4
McCain 6.3
Paul 3.3
Gingrich 3.1
Hagel 1.3
Huckabee 1.1
Rice 0.6
Tancredo 0.3