New York City mayoral election, 2017 thread

[Suburbia]

I'm a little surprised that de Blasio's approval rating is that high, to be honest, but he'll win the vote of a lot of people who disapprove. As the poll suggests, the final result should be de Blasio winning somewhere between 65 and 70% of the vote unless something substantial changes (including a new GOP candidate and not a sacrificial lamb like Malliotakis or, even worse, Massey).

Yeah. This is my first time following NYC politics and from what nearly everyone on this site was saying I thought de Blasio would be in more trouble than this. I also find it interesting how he holds up in Staten Island against Massey.

Massey is a carpetbagger who doesn't understand NYC politics. He'll win the wealthy Northern Bronx and Forest Hills, and some wealthy NYC conservative areas, but that's about it.

[Suburbia]

GOP mayoral candidate Paul Massey drops out of 2017 mayoral election:

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/republican-paul-massey-drops-mayoral-race-article-1.3285166

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/28/nyregion/paul-massey-new-york-mayors-race.html

[Suburbia]

It looks like Assemblywoman Malliotakis is the clear frontrunner in NYC GOP primary. Massey didn't even live in the city until in 2015, he only worked in the city, and commuted back home to Westchester County.

Turnout may be very, very low in September 12's primary, and on Election Day, November 7.

2021 may be the big year in NYC politics like it was in 2013 after 12 years of Bloomberg.

[Suburbia]

How have de Blasio's approval ratings got so much better? I thought they were bad and he was possibly facing a primary challenge.

His approval ratings jumped back because some like his economic record and the anti-Trump resistance in NYC.

[Suburbia]

Perennial mayoral candidate Sal Albanese calls De Blasio a name.

http://nypost.com/2017/07/07/albanese-bill-de-blasio-is-the-biggest-a-hole-in-city-hall/

De Blasio is attacked in NYC for rushing to Hamburg, Germany to attend the G20 summit this week to discuss climate change, while the city has been mourning the death of a New York City police officer, Miosotis Familia, who was murdered by a cop killer.

http://nypost.com/2017/07/07/cop-killer-reportedly-warned-hospital-he-was-homicidal/

[Suburbia]

Maliotakis seems like a great candidate (I do not know much about her though). It seems she will lose this handily, but does any new yorker see her as a potential candidate for higher office in NY in the future?

I'm not a New Yorker, but I usually travel around Staten Island since S.I. is near N.J., and she could potentially run for NY governor in 2022, 2026. She could run for NYC mayor again in 2021 since De Blasio will be reelected again, despite some mishaps. She will only win Staten Island. Queens, a close second, but very unlikely.

[Suburbia]

Perennial mayoral candidate Sal Albanese calls De Blasio a name.

http://nypost.com/2017/07/07/albanese-bill-de-blasio-is-the-biggest-a-hole-in-city-hall/

De Blasio is attacked in NYC for rushing to Hamburg, Germany to attend the G20 summit this week to discuss climate change, while the city has been mourning the death of a New York City police officer, Miosotis Familia, who was murdered by a cop killer.

http://nypost.com/2017/07/07/cop-killer-reportedly-warned-hospital-he-was-homicidal/

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/06/nyregion/de-blasio-makes-sudden-trip-to-trump-protests-at-g-20-summit.html

He's going to protest, not participate. There's a difference. I hope this hurts his chances because it is clearly a political ploy for media attention for national office.

De Blasio will likely be reelected. Malliotakis will keep it competitive, and Bo Dietl could appeal to angry white New Yorkers left in the city. No major New York City Democrat can emerge now like a Spitzer 2013 Comptroller run. Christine Quinn or Scott Stringer can do it, but maybe in 2021.

[Suburbia]

De Blasio and Stringer still have a rivalry, but they can get along since they are both Democrats.

http://nypost.com/2017/07/16/de-blasio-and-stringer-support-each-others-re-election-bids/

Had Stringer ran for mayor against De Blasio, he may have won Staten Island and Queens.

[Suburbia]

Primary is in less than a month. Anyone think Albanese picking up steam?

Yes. I like him. He's not going to be mayor, he ran for mayor in 1997, 2001, and 2013, but Albanese should run for Congress against Dan Donovan, the former S.I. D.A. who allowed Eric Garner's killer walk free in 2014.

He'll do well in Staten Island and some parts of Brooklyn, but turnout will be very, very low on September 12.

[Suburbia]

Primary is in less than a month. Anyone think Albanese picking up steam?

Yes. I like him. He's not going to be mayor, he ran for mayor in 1997, 2001, and 2013, but Albanese should run for Congress against Dan Donovan, the former S.I. D.A. who allowed Eric Garner's killer walk free in 2014.

He'll do well in Staten Island and some parts of Brooklyn, but turnout will be very, very low on September 12.

DEB getting so much bad press lately, wouldn't be surprised if he does worse than thought

He may win the Democratic renomination by 30 points or less.

[Suburbia]

I can assure that Albanese will win parts of Bay Ridge, Bensonhurst, Gravesend, etc.

Albanese will beat De Blasio in the white ethnic Staten Island areas where De Blasio is very unpopular.

I can see Albanese doing well in places like Forest Hills, Kew Gardens (white ethnics and Jewish conservative areas).

Four years ago, September 2013, the Democratic mayoral primary was more intense post-Bloomberg (Quinn, De Blasio, Thompson, Weiner)

However, De Blasio did well with all groups because of the income inequality issue.

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/election/bill-de-blasio-led-women-jewish-black-voters-article-1.1451832

[Suburbia]

Staten Island is the most politically conservative borough in NYC.

Yet, Albanese ran as a left-wing Democrat, but a good government liberal.

Staten Island Democrats love Albanese!

I tell you, Albanese should run for Congress against Donovan or Grimm.

Albanese would win.

http://www.wnyc.org/story/2017-primary-results-who-won-where/

[Suburbia]

I told you that De Blasio faces trouble in the white ethnic outerborough areas of NYC....keep underestimating them. They still exist.

https://datanews.carto.com/builder/234d10e0-985e-11e7-a79f-0ee462b5436c/embed?state=%7B%22map%22%3A%7B%22ne%22%3A%5B40.70756361447181%2C-73.89640331268312%5D%2C%22sw%22%3A%5B40.718932543395056%2C-73.86739253997804%5D%2C%22center%22%3A%5B40.71324832159253%2C-73.88189792633058%5D%2C%22zoom%22%3A16%7D%7D

[Suburbia]

De Blasio corruption unfolds again. The city's economy is fairly decent, but trust in politicians as usual is at a low.

http://www.nydailynews.com/new-york/de-blasio-donor-100g-check-bought-favors-mayor-article-1.3593656

De Blasio will easily win reelection; the Giuliani/Bloomberg coalition of white ethnic outerborough voters can't get him out, but he will be pretty ineffective nationally for a white progressive big city mayor.