What states ...

[Tender Branson]

are now left that a Democrat last won in 1964 ?

Because PPP writes:

We found Obama up 8 on Palin in a state Dems haven't won since 1964. Strongest evidence of Goldwater redux yet. Tell you where tomorrow.

http://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/32096387327860736

[Tender Branson]

IIRC, Arizona was won by Clinton once and South Carolina by Carter.

So it won't be any of these states that PPP has polled this weekend.

What do you guess is the state ?

South Dakota ?

[Tender Branson]

By my count the states are:

Alaska
Idaho
Utah
Wyoming
North Dakota
South Dakota
Nebraska
Kansas
Oklahoma

Did I miss something ?

I guess it's either Alaska (LOL, but possible after the Miller fiasco) or South Dakota, where Palin now trails by 8 points.

All other states seem to be a lock for her, and ND cannot be polled by PPP because they ban Robo-Polls.

[Tender Branson]

Could it be Alaska?

If it were based on which of the LBJ states is most worthy of polling, it would be North Dakota, because of the open Senate race. Although I think Palin leads Obama in Montana...

Montana was once won by Bill Clinton, so we can rule this state out.

PPP once said that they cannot poll North Dakota because robo-polls are only allowed in the state when they are introduced by a live-interviewer - which is more costly. Maybe they paid it on their own to get an early look at the Senate race though ...

[Tender Branson]

I'd bet a good amount of money on Alaska.

After the Miller debacle, in which the Palin-backed candidate is now seen as a sore loser, Palin is surely tied to Miller in the voters minds and that could have dragged down her image in the state and with that her support against Obama.

[Tender Branson]

I'd bet a good amount of money on Alaska.

That would have sucked ...