Put a Rating on the US Senate for 2016 - Winter 2016 (user search)
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  Put a Rating on the US Senate for 2016 - Winter 2016 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Put a rating on control of the US Senate
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 70

Author Topic: Put a Rating on the US Senate for 2016 - Winter 2016  (Read 3310 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,351
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« on: January 30, 2016, 08:21:35 PM »
Dems will secure NH, FL, NV, CO, IL & WI for 51-50 senate control
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,351
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #1 on: January 31, 2016, 01:29:06 AM »
Sabato Crystal Ball gives Dems a very good chance at a 51/50 Majority wit Trump as nominee.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,351
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #2 on: January 31, 2016, 02:45:34 PM »
SENATE  is gonna flip, upon a Trump candidacy, non of GOP senators have endorsed Trump and Dems are targetting OH, Pa, FL, IL & WI.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,351
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #3 on: February 01, 2016, 03:00:57 AM »
« Edited: February 01, 2016, 03:06:02 AM by OC »
Tossup, I say Dems win OH or NH, FL, NV, CO, WI and IL. DEMS net 4-6 seats but OH and Pa, inc are below 50, Portman or Toomey arent assued anything.

Especially, Toomey who  Dems will spend a ton money on in Pa, and Rendell support.

So, I say 51 with Pa after NH & FL.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,351
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #4 on: February 01, 2016, 12:24:18 PM »
« Edited: February 01, 2016, 12:33:42 PM by OC »
Pa,IL,FL,NH,CO, NV  are absolutely critical to get Dems the WH combined with the 272-266 blue Wall & a Clinton-Castro ticket, Latino corridor is critical plus FL. No, McGinty or Sestak shouldn't be counted out, its Pennsylvania. CLINTON or Bernie needs those 20 electors to seal the deal over Trump

Tossup/Tilt D 51-50 D Senators

Dem favored
IL kirk
WI Johnson
FL Rubio
CO Bennett

Tossup/ Tilt D
NV Reid
NH Ayotte
PA Toomey
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,351
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #5 on: February 01, 2016, 06:46:45 PM »
« Edited: February 01, 2016, 06:48:27 PM by OC »
Dems should focus on winning Pa, NH, WI & IL as well as CO & NV, that is the 272 -266 blue wall. If Grayson is nominee, I would focus on Ohio.

Sestak or McGinty shouldn't be underestimated, especially in Pa, which is key, thats why convention is there.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,351
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #6 on: February 02, 2016, 05:14:25 PM »
Dems will win NH, FL, WI, IL, OH or PA, CO, NV 3-6 seats
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,351
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #7 on: February 03, 2016, 02:39:03 AM »
« Edited: February 03, 2016, 02:50:11 AM by OC »
Strickland has been leading in every poll QU has him up. Dems will beat Portman . DEMS will win WI, IL, CO, NV, OH, NH, FL for a total of 5 seats. Dems arent conceding OH . DEMS dont need FL. They can certainly win Pa, OH, CO, NV, NH, IL, & WI. I like Sestak & Strickland and want them to win, badley.

Trump or Cruz are weak in Potomac OH & Va.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,351
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #8 on: February 03, 2016, 12:16:41 PM »
« Edited: February 03, 2016, 12:27:20 PM by OC »
The Dems will pick up gov mansions all over, in NV, FL and IL. This will hold down GOP congressional gains in midwest. Rauner is surely gone and MI, with debacle of Synder will go Dem.  

The Dems, will be advantaged this election cycle. DEFEND 272 BLUE WALL & put OH & Va in play. Thats what Obama did so well against Romney.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,351
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #9 on: February 03, 2016, 04:43:58 PM »
« Edited: February 03, 2016, 04:46:04 PM by OC »
Tilt D
FL, CO, IL, WI, NV, NH

Pure Tossup
Pa Pat Toomey

Special in NJ should Menendez get indicted

But, Strickland, Deb Ross or Kirkpatrick will win if Dems get to 290 electors instead of 272, and Trump is a flawed nominee
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,351
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #10 on: February 05, 2016, 05:09:50 PM »
Portman which is considered safe have been polling like Ayotte and McCain and the GOP in FL. Rather than like Toomey.  Dens have a strong recruit in Ted Strickland. Trumpster have been consistently behind in OH & Va polling.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,351
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #11 on: February 06, 2016, 02:16:28 AM »
If Trump or Bernie Sanders are the nominees, R's definitely wilt win Senate control. Defend NV and/ CO and pick up Pa/NH and win FL. To have a 51-50 split. Hilary will be nominee
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,351
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #12 on: March 08, 2016, 10:18:19 PM »
Edge D
NV, CO, IL, NH & WI

States that can flip
Iowa, FL, Pa,& OH

Edge GOP
NC, MO & AZ
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